RE: Q417 May 2019 12:01
No hard feelings angela, discretion is the better part of valour. Said PW was full of BS, looks like the board/big shareholders thought the same.
At 20p, this is just stupidly undervalued. SD *WILL* come online at some point and they won't run out of cash before it does as they've committed to not explore further until it does. The large receivables balance in Egypt will pay for a lot of the further CAPEX in Egypt.
It really is pathetic how things have panned out but the potential is all still there and you can buy in for less than 27p/share right now. It seems to major stumbling block has been that CPF in SD. Once that is finally out of the way hopefully they can get back to exploring and tie in further gas finds much more quickly.
My only *real* concern is the Morocco slowdown. Still, it will keep ticking over and an exit rate above 7mmcf/d will be good in my book. Could happen.
You are right though, given the Morocco slowdown, falling production in Egypt and a further delay on SD, this could quite easily hit low 20's or God forbid, even lower, as people continue to dump shares out of frustration. With SD online this is easily worth 50p, a near 100% return from current prices.