Member Info for Sangijuelas1

seriously i reported this fake news post about kroger half an hour ago and this ****ty site leaves it up!

Ok VP. I just think at the time more people were concerned with the risk of people dying than what impact it would have on their short

High volume, biggish spread. Like they want to deter buyers

VP

You get very excited when it's dropping as well and don't forget that shameful time when you posted about the likelihood of WW3 late in the Saturday night when Iran was attacking Israel!

Must be some interesting discussions going on around the subject of risk management at certain hedge funds

Stupmy-never stay in to watch a stock. That sounds very unhealthy.

Just a BS merchant. Nothing on Lex

Yeah if D1 did have to radically cut their position here could get interesting.

GME nearly bankrupted them last time. What happens to borrowed stock if hedge fund goes bust?

Probably to about 335

There does seem to be some link to the likes of GME.

Potentially through the likes of D1 reducing risk due to their exposure to GME.

GME & AMC are currently both up about 130%.

I think yesterday D1 cut a bit and other shorts took the opportunity to knock it back down.

Https://www.cdotrends.com/story/3969/robot-grocery-wars-heat?utm_source=linkedin.com&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=inhouse-social-post

What a surprise!

It does look like Millennium.

They must know bad news. Who opens a short when a stock is this low already?

The level of confidence short sellers have here makes you think they are privy to undisclosed bad news.

The chart on the short tracker says the level is the highest since 2018.

Makes a change from poop and scoop

Could actually be linked to the GME situation. D1 Capital were previously exposed to GME (nearly blew them up with a 4bn loss) so they could be having to reduce overall risk across their short positions.

Yeah Boyo, given the swings it would be silly not to trade them but I do small amounts around the core holding.

Having said this I will only trade a stock if I am prepared to hold it long term.

I still see myself as building a position here though.

Investors in tech don't want it because of the Retail side and investors in supermarkets are like where are the profits and dividends?

And yet you have a company selling their tech whilst also having generated significant experience of working with it themselves and through partners.

There is value in this. Also in the Ocado brand itself and their customer data. The data is likely to be very valuable as it's for more affluent customers and now that Cookies are due to be phased out, marketing companies are going to have to source data more from the likes of Ocado and the other supermarkets.

Also Boyo as I understand it you are looking to trade whereas I am buying it to hold. I am more interested in where they will be in 5-10 years time. I think inflation has meant that supermarkets globally have been able to make high profits from their sales alone. Now that inflation is coming down they will have to start looking at their costs and efficiency.

I think Ocado is currently valued rigidly according to models developed to assess the success of pure play retailers. They are likely to be in a category to be assessed this way. So rather than discounting the retail side they ignore Solutions as it doesn't fit these valuation models.

Obviously anyone buying this over £12 needed their head examined at the time.

When I try to value Ocado I ignore the Retail side completely.

My focus is on the Solutions revenue, which is projected to be £500m this year. I then apply a sales to price ratio of 8, which is equivalent to the Autostore valuation giving a market cap of £4bn. This seems reasonable given that Autostore growth has stalled and Ocado still seems to be increasing revenue. If they get the Coles NSW site up and running in the next couple of months this should be a decent boost along with Sobey's sales growth and getting Madrid open in the summer.

So I feel that it's currently worth about 25% more. The unknown factor is whether they really can attract non grocery companies to Ocado Intelligent Automation.

For me the signs are positive. I have been following the posts from OIA on LinkedIn and one featuring automated battery swap got a high number of likes compared to other posts.

Some likes are from Ocado staff but there are also a decent amount from employees from the likes of Johnson and Johnson and Tesco's.