RE: Are we moving too fast15 Jun 2023 15:55
SocialistB, thanks for your post @14.23.
You may be correct in thinking we may not get another chance if we pass up an opportunity to buy the 70% of Havieron and Telfer. ( if offered)
Unfortunately that offer may come too early for many of us. With the sp so low, dilution would be horrendous even if we took a lower percentage of equity and a higher percentage of debt.
In a previous RNS, I referred to this morning, we needed A$120 million in equity for A$220 million debt. That was for our 30% share of costs to get Havieron to production. So on the same ratio we would need A$280 million in equity for another A$500 million ( or so) in debt. These are just for getting Havieron into production.
Add on buying the 70% share of Havieron, we dont own and that could well cost another $840 million.
( I have used the 5% figure from last year of $60 million dollars to get the figure of $840 million. Unfortunately I cannot remember if the 60 million was Us or Australian dollars)
I can’t see a decision to mine coming before September when the Newcrest/Newmont buyout nears completion as the implications on that vote could allow us the opportunity to buy Newmont out at fair market value if they don’t want to proceed.
So you can see, I don’t think we can afford it.
The one chance we could have is something someone pointed to a few months ago,regarding case law on right of first refusal, I think.
In that case the junior partner of a j/v had right of first refusal to purchase the other majority share. Using money borrowed from another mining giant, they bought the majority stake and then sold it to that Mining giant for a $50 million ‘fee’.
Could we see Wyloo being our benefactor when purchasing it and then selling them 49% back to them for the same price?
That would leave us with a 51% majority share, which obviously we would need to raise capital on to cover costs to production. By that time though, I think we could all agree the sp would be multiples of todays sp.