RE: Another week down the pan?25 May 2020 16:17
PVX233 Perhaps you should be the accountant. I hope your predictions are correct, but past performance, although not necessarily a guide to the future, so say stock markets, has never quite been the way it should have.
When people were suggesting they could either repay convertible bondholders, not only did they not repay 1 penny, they borrowed extra.
The big difference is the POX hub is now fully working, that "SHOULD" make a big difference, but, the proof will be in the pudding. As I have alluded to previously if they were cash rich, they would just buy TEMI with cash. The question I would ask you is. Why didn't they do that then ?
You normally don't answer, so I will hazard a guess, they didn't have the full cash. So if they didn't have the full amount of cash, they will have no chance of repaying all the bonds on maturity. Not that that should be a major hurdle, as if we stay at the same levels, or as I think we should do, grow the share price, I can only see one outcome with the bondholders for the convertibles, that is for them to convert.
That will give extra shareholders, and cause dilution to existing shareholders, but, it will get rid of that part of the debt.
At that time, market capitalisation should be higher and if we redeem "some" of the larger bond and renegotiate another issue at a lower coupon rate that would not be a bad thing as a lot of companies carry debt.
That should lead to a further re-rating of POG in a positive was which should lead to an even higher share price. It is going to be interesting to hear about third party concentrate and how much we have processed, but, I fear we will not know how much we are making from the processing of this stuff.