Member Info for roxy2020

Mariupol is at risk of a major cholera outbreak as medical services are likely already near collapse, Britain's defense ministry says. There is likely also a critical shortage of medicines in Kherson, the ministry Russia is struggling to provide basic public services to the population in Russian-occupied territories, it added.

@BSR
I will not add anymore to this as I have said my 2p's worth . I would just ask you to step back and think how various different conflicts in this world have been resolved in the past and how peace has been achieved.
ATB

@BSR
In case you have forgotten let me remind you they have still been negotiating as recently as the beginning of 2022 the invasion of Crimea in 2014.
Would you say that the peace negotiations meant that one side or the other admitted defeat.???
Negotiations is a means of stopping the brutal killing and destruction and should not be confused with victory or defeat.
ATB

@BSR
"The quicker Zelensky wakes up and smells the coffee the better for the country. I peronally believe he wants the Ukrainians to suffer so much that they will take any peace deal without saying he betrayed or surrendered too quickly."
I beg to differ.
You have to remember that Zelensky was offered safe passage to the US within a week when this whole thing started.
He turned it down and told his countrymen we will fight.
He has done brilliantly under very difficult circumstances. I dont think it will come down to surrendering or facing defeat.
It will be a negotiated deal which both sides will have to accept in the interest of everybody concerned.
ATB

I think BJ is preety smart. He has managed to "duck and dive" and has survived quite a few attempts by others to oust him.
Its a bit like someone who wants to have his cake and eat it. He has been lucky in that the tories can't pick a candidate who is confident enough as he is.Its going to be a close race but I don't think he will throw in the towel.

I am with Horult on this one. I don't agree with FA that the war might end sooner (after Donbass is taken) but I feel if the arms shipment is there and constantly replinished it becomes a cycle.The UKR will fight on and to be honest they have done a good job in taking back a lot of the territories. The only way that this can stop is if Russia and UKR both feel "enough is enough" or like i said previously the rest of the word feels the same way.
After Russia took over crimea there was considerable criticsm in the beginning and a few months later it was "busines as usual". I think this will go the same way.
ATB

@Horult
"Their battle has been going on for last 8 years, so why expect this invasion to be over soon?
And regardless of whether Europe/USA should or should not be supplying arms from a morale standpoint - it was clear to me that the more we supply the longer it will go on."
This is exactly the point, The Battle rages on unless someone has the **lls to stand up and say lets sit down NOW and talk.
More deaths and more destruction isn't the answer. This has to be the starting point. Besides we have our own problems at home which need to be addressed an those are not easy to solve. I get the feeling that if the war rages on and on the public in Europe will get fed up and will want to see and end to it no matter how unfair it is to the russians or UKR.
ATB

@Jotom
You make a very good point mate. Its a valid one and certainly has its merit.
Thanks Bud.

@Newdealz
Good Morning.
The underlying principles for handling inflation and reccessionary pressures on the economies have remained the same since the days of Major and Lamont.We all know that BJ cant get a magic wand and mend the economy. The fallout from these breakdowns in economic growth take years to fix.I can say that this not a problem effecting the UK only. Just take the travel and Leisure industry. Most economists/commentators were saying the problems in the travel industry will be resolved 6 months after covid. By their own admission many airline and travel company ceo's now say it could take about 2-3 years.So the downward slippery slope is easy but the upward journey much more tricky.
ATB

@Jotom
I would refer you back to the late 80'S when share prices tumbled and the stock market index (FTSE) was anound 1800.
I am not reffering to 5% of the sectors in the market which will do well as always like OIl and Energy.
There is this common concept that if we "put all our eggs in one basket" we should be ok. Not anymore IMHO.
ATB

@FA
Agreed .
My point in bringing the statement from Barclays into discussion is to discuss that some sectors may survive (like gold) for instance but that reccessionary effects in general on other sectors will be so great that this will cancel out the benefits overall. Covid in China, the War and now infrastructural errors in the european economies due to lack of planning is taking its toll .For those of us who have wider portfolios will see these effects almost immediatly.
ATB

A spokesman for Barclays just confirming this morning that stagflation is already hitting the economy and a likely reccession on the cards. This is going to have a massive effect on equities than just the likes of POLY, POG and EVR.
I dont think many here have realised the game could be up for equities in general for at least 12-18 months.The US market which may survive the recession is far too expensive and this means its going to be a further dip despite what many think of "green shoots " emerging if we have a peace deal in the pipeline. Its just too late and many economies will suffer.
ATB

@Tiger
Thanks Bud.

@Tiger
Your information and analysis seem to reflect more or less my take on POG.
Would you agree that shareholders will be last in the queue and at most they could walk
away with 3p and the worst 1p.??

@Elguiri
I agree POLY is not EVR is not POG.
But they are all bound by the same geo-political factors and they have all being sanctioned (at least in their current form).
The fact that some of these companies have some financial strength for the time being can evaporate extremely quickly.
Six months ago most experts would have reccommended these companies without a doubt but we are in a different league now.This is going to be a game of survival and those that haven't got the stomach for these are in for wrong game.
Its best to point out the facts and be REAL.
ATB

@Elguiri.
Thats what they said about POG. Look what happened.
ATB

@Captainswag
This will hit the auction as soon as there is any news of a cessation of conflict or of any sort of peace deal .
Those that are not allowed to buy at present in my opnion will be streets ahead pf the PI's.It also depends on your trading platform and how they will approach the stock.
Lets see.

tasteit,
you knew this was a lottery. no doubt about that

@NoFace
Totally agree. This is now going to end up at the mercy of a Russian buyer.
For those dreaming of 5-7p its exactly that. The most you'd say for share holders is 1-2p
This would have had a lot of buyers queuing up if t was a great buy.
ATB

The inflationary pressures and other factors linked are already starting to bite.If there is no peace formula soon this can only get worse. Those who believe that the war is not directly or indirectly linked to infalation and a impending recession really need to step back and rethink.I came across someone who is a a volunteer at a food bank and I asked him how things were generally for the community in the area he works. He said he cant believe how many ordinary folk cant make their ends meet and more are refferred everyday to them for assistance.They feel that the govt are still living in the 40's and 50's when we were a colonial power and could just about assist any country.They are forgetting to be charitable at home and this has somehow muted their feeling for Zelensky and his lot. They know russia is in the wrong and that is not acceptable but at the same time they feel its not our primary concern to help and keep helping when our own are starving and living in poverty.
ATB