MCap etc9 Dec 2025 11:34
Yesterdays posts got me thinking... my usual example is COST, which had some bad jobs, needed to have a rights issue and consolidation, no divi, hardship rations. You will see that over a few years it has gone back to just above its previous MC, even before paying a similar divi. Just steady new leadership team, no surprises turnover and margin.
Now people may say ah well that couldn't happen here but why not? Keep the nose clean. Pay down debt, return the divi. If the business is the same as it was of course, which it won't quite be because the return on insurance will be different. But there are other new products to add to that and in theory the insurance risk is reduced/eliminated, so the take should end up predictable...
It's not that long ago that my confidence in getting 600 was greeted by derision here. I now have a stretch target well north of that. Interesting times.