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I also got a link from Investegate for an RNS-title "Directorate change" but link wont work... we shall see...
For me the shorts have to start reducing for it to be going anywhere much above where it is now...
I am currently holding 75% of my long term stock, and when I see that happening I will go back to 100% at whatever that price is at the time. No signs yet though but can happen quickly obvs.
Anyone else thinking the same?
Don't need another low ball take out...had 2 already this year!
Oasis make their next move it seems....
This could get interesting.
R11111
At last some common sense. The 40-50p brigade chose not to post any back up to those figures.
The companies stated $100m in 3-5 years, note Dollars, at 40%.
£81m, £32m PBT say 26 after for the sake of argument MC say 260m tops. About 20p.
And those base parameters will be probably optimistic from management because they have to believe don't they? In the meantime there could be further dilution that destroys even the 20p.
But as you say it's a binary outcome for sure. Place your bets!
Yeah they were very bullish-unlike the run rate on river cruise...fingers crossed!
Thanks Spights. Yeah that's what I was looking at-so it was tabled last year? I just thought it was 21...So they have 4 years from 5/7 then.
Billzo you've basically written there what I put on the COST Advfn board last week and deeply upset the senior residents. Personally I do take into account inherited issues on both companies, but as over there, having the top few getting free shares when the general staff have had nothing for years doesn't sit right.
Spights I know you have a good understanding of this, others may also.
Am I correct in saying that the measurement date for the £6 hurdle is 5 years from the 2022 AGM ie 5/7/27?
In my head it was earlier than this but maybe not??
I know they have several different bonuses but that one could be the biggest and I would expect it to be hit.
Afternoon all-I don't think anyone said was a celebration just a chance to meet a few old or new lags. I'm sure Banbury and I will be discussing our epic AIM oily miners failures from 2010s...My target for these is well beyond 2 quid.
Ah very good.
Bedfordshire these days.
Am in Brum regularly mate either for work or the Villa.
Certainly not over 2 quid and as I said Smorty was up for it.
See you in the bar at York then
..quite a call to arms Lakeside...
Lots of people throwing 40p a share around now on here. I've gone back well into March but haven't seen anyone posting their view of the numbers to justify that figure?
Perhaps I've missed some calcs to show something like that-care to share anybody?
Billybob, thanks for the reply. Thanks for the correction. But I guess the residual problem is that companies can trade for years at below a theoretical MC based in sector sentiment or anything else. Like others I’d be glad to see your figure sooner rather than later!
Ooh am I Rose now...only at the weekend PMSL, how DID you know....?
FYI I held long before you showed up, didn't sell at the 440 top and came back down. Give or take. So more fool me. I've been quite clear on what my position is over the last couple of days.
As you said:- "but also I removed some predictions which I think I needed to remove"... Were they the ones that ended badly by any chance?
Hey Checkin, I get a mention. High 5.
No panic here son. Cooler than a Polar Bear in a deep freeze. I post how I see it and as I said I have reduced but still hold. And I think Banbury said he is still holding also.
I think before you tell us how much money you've made on this and that you should start posting your trades on here when they happen and we can see how sharp you are. Instead of telling us after the alleged time.
Just saying, as you might say.
Oh and why was it you changed your ID again?
Billybob,
Nice to see some numbers but my understanding of the EV calc is EV=M/cap+total debt-Cash.
ie in this case 160+712-157=715m
A bit different.
Pity we haven't got an accountant or two here? Banbury!!!
"Who exactly are their pay masters ..they aren't doing this just off their own steam"
Doesn't really matter does it? My point was the reaction to the question.
On that subject. I think it was the Numis analyst in the Q and A this morning who was exceedingly dismissive of the ability to sell it in the current market. And both CEO and FD were adamant that they could get it away at a decent number with completion H2 2023.
Which to be fair Billzo, after what they said this morning if they don't then I'd be closer to your view on management.
Hi Billzo. I agree and disagree.
There's an old construction saying-You can only p**s with the c**k ya got. The management team weren't there when the initial price crash happened, they didn't start covid and they didn't start the rampant price inflation. I think the FD looked a bit flaky this morning under questioning mind you. They may have it right but it is going to take a few years to get there and in the meantime there's better things to be in I think. I'm still in but have reduced heavily.
Spights-I didn't say I thought it was going under. I don't think it will, the question is what will the share price be to make money on growth and/or dividend. If there's nothing to move it between now and next year, then why keep capital tied here? When the FD couldn't answer a question on run rate for river cruise without going around the houses a few times, it was a concern to me. Its a different market to when this last did +25% in a day. If they release good news now you'd be able to jump on at a 5% premium at most I think. That's the point here now isnt it?