Member Info for roger65

Crazy talk of 10p a share imo

We're in new territory now. Massive number of shares and as yet to be seen new mcap. If it's about £8.8m from June 3rd then the new 'rerate' will put us roughly at 1.5p per share

Can't understand how people think the mcap could suddenly increase to £55m giving a share price of 10p. This is for the birds. ie cloud cuckoo land.

All sells onlyprofit.

This stock never ceases to underwhelm.

Why do people keep going on about an announcement for a new US partner? It WAS announced on April 23rd for clinical trials in the US. They just chose not to say WHO the partner is. If it's a partner who can help cover trials across the US then it will be a sizeable organisation and that is good news. As I've said before, this whole plan to get the sp down to a penny I think was put in motion with RF and Budd a long time ago. Perhaps giving the name of the US partner away would have got in the way of bring it down to the required level and so, whilst the RNS had to be released to comply with AIM rules, it was scant on details..?

Whatever, I think if people choose to hold medium term here they will be fine. Just for now if you're trading then timing is going to be tricky what with the mms and Peel Hunt working in tandem to shaft retail investors and make themselves a few bob. I smell RF lurking in the muddy waters so think things are still going to be difficult for a while. Roll on second half of June and early July and then finally this will go

Trades misreported. Nothing usual and I understand it’s just algorithms but… who sets these?

Everything at 1.5p is a buy and yet if you look at the Google chart it’s red at 1.5p. Look at the LSE trades and they’ll tell you there has only been £12k of buying today. Not sure what’s going on but I think there are millions of shares being forward sold to retail at 1.5p. MMS are holding this price so they can drop it perhaps as of this afternoon or June 3rd when an extra few hundred million shares will be dumped in the market. The sp could fall hugely and cause panic selling, all of which will be happily gobbled up by PH. Just a wild theory but my recent buys yesterday all showed up as sells at 1.5p exactly. Why? It’s definitely a case of mms games just now. Cat and mouse.

PH are heavily involved in all of this and there is clear manipulation in play. My gut tells me there is a lot of forward selling going on 1.5 in the full knowledge that mms will dutifully drop the price to 1p or even lower and as many panic sell the iis will snap all the cheap shares - retail will of course be shut out and won’t even get quotes - and then it’ll be off to the races up to 2p for a lovely 100% profit

This might even happen twice before mms and PH finally leave it alone and it starts to rise towards 5p as July 10th approaches. The pros have proof there is huge pi interest here and so GDR is ripe fruit ready to be picked and juiced!

Peel Hunt involvement should be ringing alarm bells for all retail and I urge extreme caution.

Now watch this post get removed. Fast!

Stephen - and for others too - once again, it has been stated in the public consultation documents repeatedly that Lab testing is the preferred option over CYP2C19. However, there simply isn't enough supply for the whole country and so it is estimated up to 35k CYP2C19 tests per year could be used to help cope with demand. That's some way off the £8m per year for the UK that GDR had hoped for but....it's still possibly worth £2.8m a year.

NHS, once NICE gives FULL approval, is three months to swing into action so certainly by the end of this year revenue could be significant. R and D annual tax credit of about £800k and existing (and hopefully increasing) AIHL sales in the UK and in EU territories will extend GDR's cash runway further, even though in 2025 the monthly cash burn is expected to rise to £600k per month! Personally I will be disappointed if that goes ahead on the back of little increase in sales revenue because we'd just find ourselves in this scenario of running out of cash all over again. And we all know what happens when GDR are broke...

Yes Guy. Welcome to being a GDR share holder lol

Expect the unexpected.

But you said yourself it's now a cash shell so what would they be waiting for? using some of that cash for a couple of easy monthly salaries I'm sure but still shouldn't amount to any reason why they don't just get on with it and tell the market what they have/don't have. Hope no one loses too much on this.

Actually, not defending Cheek but...he did put his money into the initial placing so had things gone belly up he would have lost that money. The others took a safer route and bought into the open offer.

I am confused by today. The all time low is 1.475. So why would so many people be selling now, having only just bought at recent lows to now lose instantly? Unless of course the usual lse trade reporting is a little adrift from reality?? either that or an awful lot of share holders think this is going to drop further and that they will be able to buy in lower? Seems very odd to me. I bought more at 1.5p so hope I'm not going to regret that. Gotta make up some losses from former times being in here and also a couple of other losers on AIM in the form of GST and CPX.

Just had a thought whilst typing. Perhaps some have got wind of the vote going the wrong way and not gaining approval? That would be the mother of all leaks and almost certainly lead to an investigation by the FCA but surely there aren't many who would see any point in voting no. wtfdik though.

Seems very odd.

Looks for all the world as if there is an awful lot of buying going on according to L2 but the sp isn't budging. Not sure what's going on.

Another placing on the way imo. If there is a positive release from Lars then run for the hills because you know what comes next. Possibly even the very next day like GST.

GST announced a corporate update - all very positive and of course very little specific info in it and the very next day whacked in a raise for £1.2m. The BODs deliberately cause a spike and then got the raise away. Same thing could easily happen here as Lars has zero regard for retail share holders. We not back in the 0.07s yet? Won't be long.

See you all back here when this is in the .7s

I was just waiting for one of the resident rampers to announce they'd topped up ...yet again. Endless source of opportunities with GST as it continues to drop. Now 16% below the placing price and BODs appear to have gone to ground. Really hope they have something +ve to announce soon. Very soon

If that's all it is bunsen then why the delay in getting results out?

Your estimate of cash is going up by the minute :). Really can't see how you think cash will be as much as £1.75 or £1.8m. More likely around the £800k mark. I think that's all that's been given value in the mcap so that's why we are where we are.

The pump is over and david6576 and skier1 are nowhere to be seen. funny that.

Written this off myself. Only a miracle will provide anything +ve. That or another well organised pump and dump.

Basil, you seem a bit confused on a few things.

Firstly, July 10th news from NICE has nothing to do with the AIHL test. It's for CYP2C19. The hope is that it will be a FULL recommendation rather than another CONDITIONAL one.

Secondly, you appear to be working off the current mcap numbers. Once all the new shares are added I think the mcap will be more like £8.8m with about 555m shares in issue. That would maintain a share price of around 1.5p. Thus, after June 3rd and all shares are dumped on the market and we have a new mcap based on current value and all the new cash in the bank, then a share price of 15p would equate to mcap of £88m!! Don't think we're going to see that any time soon sadly.

For now, we really, really need Cheek to deliver a series of positive RNSs or this will slowly drop just under the placing price and enjoy a modest rise as we approach NICE news on July 10th. My own hope is that we see a rise up to about 5p (new mcap of about £30m). If NHS confirms sales of CYP2C19 tests as of Oct/Nov - the HNS has 3months to decide on its funding for this - then we may see a further rise.

imho I think all talk of anything more than 10p is for the birds, not because I think GDR can't achieve that or be worth it but because by that stage I think GDR will be bought out. The price of a take over with that good news in the bag and plenty of cash in the bank and MRN1 sales increasing could be very interesting. Sale price giving share holders 20p per share? Making this more than a 10 bagger from current value. Could be. Really could be.

Stephen11 they have already announced a US partner deal. They just won’t say who it is . Why not? Who knows. GDR had dealings with BC before and it turned out to be totally dudd so I wouldn’t get your hopes up unless they reveal the name and that name happens to be one that is a potential buyer of GDR.

If they had put more in and it did well they would have been accused of blatant profiteering when in full command of the facts as to what has been happening all along.

The RNS placing for £1.2m was only 5 weeks ago so I still think it's slightly early days for the acquisition to be sorted. Really hope we get news on it in June and before the results RNS in July.

At several points in the public consultation documents the figures of approx 35k CYP2C19 tests a year were mentioned. This was based on known available lab testing throughout the UK. It is expected that if the test gains FULL approval that up to 35k tests will be bought and used by the NHS. That's about £2.5m of income rather than £8m. I think this would start just 3 months after the NICE news lands so if GDR raise up to £6m now and can increase AIHL test sales as well then they're getting close to being covered until mid 2025 possibly later, depending on those all important sales figures. Nothing to stop certain territories eg Middle East from also using the stroke tests sooner rather than later.

For now the big concern is have they raised enough and will the share holders approve the fund raise. I honestly don't know which way this will go but I'm pretty certain the BODs won't waste any more time if the raise is unsuccessful in taking the company private. the amount they have asked retail investors to hand over is pretty outrageous given how poorly the share price has performed for the last 18 months. I have no idea if people have the stomach for another rinsing.

Cheek was brought in apparently to improve the share price. Well, since he took charge it's down about 80% and we've seen absolutely massive dilution. There were just under 100m shares when he arrived. There will soon be 650m. It's not an impressive performance by any marker and many retail investors will look at the chart for the last year and either run a mile or perhaps throw £1k in as a punt. Cheek and his cronies have absolutely destroyed any confidence and sentiment for retail and it may be that he and the ii pals he has waiting to climb on board want to be rid of us before they swoop in. No one knows. This time on Friday however we will know at least some of the answers.

If the market makers are generous and give us an mcap of £10m what with loads of new funding then the sp will stay just above the placing price. As we approach July 10th it will hopefully rise to 2 or 3p but when the rise does finally happen retail will of course be shut out and unable to sell any meaningful quantities until it's back at 1.5p. Think Stocksaint is right in that the bigger rise will happen later in the year. With loads of luck, good news and Cheek behaving himself I thinkt his could do 5p by end of the year.