RE: 18th European Airline Training Symposium28 Oct 2019 22:05
Phil
When you consider that value wise SEE is roughly half the total value it was at its peak last summer, with approximately double the booked Auto business, there is clearly a disconnect somewhere that will only be fixed once SEE is back to a comparable position to pre TFD ie breakeven and no need for a further fund raise.
Once SEE is in that position if the market is truly as efficient as we are continually told there should be a rerate to reflect the progress made in not only Auto but other areas of the business.
As for Auto not counting 2022/2024, it takes 2-3 years from when decisions are made before production begins, NCAP /legislation is roughly two and a half years away so any OEM who wants to sell cars (especially with 5 stars) in Europe better start executing, to borrow a word from Doctor Mike, or they won't. And the market will reflect those contract wins in the SP at the time of issue, as I'm sure you know.
Looking across the water at the company perceived by some financial analysts as SEEs main competitor, as at present it hasn't acknowledged a funding gap (which there might/might not be one) on a number of metrics it is valued at 2 to 3 times the value of SEE which just shows how much a breakeven /no funding required RNS is needed.