Member Info for ralarcon

I have a limit buy order set at 49p. I shall let the market decide if I end up back in. I think that is a fair entry point at this stage for me. I can see this share swinging between that and high 50s for now. I think the SP right now may be a good buy for may but currently I am seeing better returns elsewhere whilst the sentiment is still against testing. But I can see that changing once the vaccine is rolled out and the effects people are expecting aren't as dramatic.

I also think that more could be persuaded to jump on to recovery shares now because it essentially delays the next big jump on many shares for a few more weeks, so those that thought perhaps missed the boat, may decide to jump on it now whilst there is still some uncertainty on the vaccine front, in the expectation that there will be another big jump ahead; specially if there is a pull back on some of the shares that have seen big gains recently.

I don't think it will have too much effect; it could even work against the SP because It elongates the wait for the full effect of the vaccine to be understood. Many could therefore still see a bigger recovery over the hill an not many will jump back on testing shares straight away. If the full order came out we would soon realize that the effect will not be a quick turn around and testing still has a huge part to play; I would expect a bigger swing to testing in the short term.

I have been reading this board since the Covid bubble began and decided to invest in GDR, and I appreciate the positive ramping from some but I also welcome the reality check some bring too. I am new to regular trading and before Covid I have mostly put money in low risk and steady growth shares like Experian and Spirax Sarco (held for 5 years). I don't understand why some take it so personal or think is inappropriate to give a negative view on this share or any share. Wannabe investors want to read both sides of the coin and then make our own mind. So when someone gives a view that does not align with yours, don't dismiss it...ask why? they may have information you have missed.

Oneknows; was that directed at me? my average actually started around £1.68 but bought more in £1.05 region. I decided to sell at a loss because i judged this would remain 50-60p in the short term and i could use the cash elsewhere riding the sentiment momentum; i could have been wrong but i made a call and in my case it paid off so far but i can see things changing again but i am being more cautious this time. I can still buy in to GDR and my position would be as it was a few days ago but my balance sheet is where it was in the £1.20s so pleased overall with how things turned out. in terms of my other views; i was only sharing facts that prior to covid was in 20s and prior to vaccine news it was hovering round £1.10-1.30 with no sales. so if sentiment turns i can see going back up but there will still be mixed news related to vaccines so no everyone will change horses instead will hedge or be more cautious like myself right now before buying too much in to it. The landscape is ever changing right now and we have to be prepared to change and adapt with it, that is all. A balanced view in my opinion, not deramp or ramping.

not sure, prior to covid shares where in the 20s, but with other things positive besides that i am thinking 30s ...I am judging what i do next based on a downside of 30p (no Covid factor) and upside of £1.30 with a change in covid sentiment on the positive side.

yes; agree about the profit taking so now i am even i am setting some close stop losses on key profit shares as i can see some sudden 10% drops in some. i’ll look in to Hyve; also H&T, Hammerson, Go-Ahead. I’ve have been trading more based on MACD analysis and a 4:1 or higher risk reward ratio and that has helped. I am still hopeful GDR will be back and climb to the £1.30 level which it was with no sales; so a change in sentiment back to testing and at least some modest sales that could be achieved but i would probably get out at 90p and watch again.

rafa...agree, made that mistake already because my mobile trading app has limited functionality for that and. i have to use my pc so i didn’t get in to the habit early on to use tracking stop loss or simple stop loss. I know have them on every profit stock; although i also made the mistake to put it to high and triggered IAG on a down swing and lost out on some big gains later on. Still learning.

dreammachine; i listened to your advice and managed to cover my GDR losses. I don’t like seeing the big red number against GDR on my records but i guess the bottom number is all that matters. I am now watching with caution as I can see the tail wind changing direction again towards testing but I personally don’t think the swing will be as drastic as this vaccine sentiment was. I am hedging my portfolio with some stocks that have been largely unaffected by the vaccine either negatively or positive, but have steady growth. Any tips on companies to research whilst waiting on this one from sidelines.

sorry mobile phone not great for posting...not sure how to delete previous random post. When is the usual FDA updates? Wednesday?

rea

For those looking short term COVID19 is a big factor and it has accelerated the SP but if you look in to GDR for the long term you will find that there is more to them and for what i have seen in their presentations last three years they are in line with their predictions/plans before COVID19 came along. Long term i believe there is growth to be had; how long will be influenced by what they make out of the COVID19 opportunity but even without it I can see them growing steady over next 3years.

a type of “tested negative” passport will be required in my opinion to increase air travel numbers. I don’t think it will be for the airlines but for the airports to resolve the logistics. I think there will independent test companies set up; some probably aligned with carparks and some airport hotels. It would not work as part of the airline 90min -2hr process. I think it will be for each person to arrange with one of the many satellite test stations around the airport or perhaps local to their homes. Results would go in to a central database that airlines can access at check in process. It will be for individuals to have this test ahead of travel, obviously the closer you leave it, the more risk of spoiling your holiday. I think we will just have to accept the risk of someone contracting the virus in the time between test and making it to check in. But if you set a time stamp on the test of no more than 12hr or 24hrs i think that is practicable. The only way to deal with the volume will be for satellite tests stations as part of current businesses as i said above like airport hotels and carparks, drop car, get tested, get results on you mobile and in database for airline check in.