RE: Prem29 May 2023 11:12
My thoughts on the webinar
GR suggested that he may be naive and I wouldn't disagree. Lots of "believe" and "likely" type quotes with regard to future production estimates by on the whole non committal. The company decided to do this webinar, his lack of preparation was telling. He didn't know how much they've produced so far, he has no idea about the grades could be SC6, SC7, SC3 SC5.5, the grades are going to be very important in the future, the deal is to supply SC6, will Canmax pay for lower grades? The modifications required to the plant will take time, new screens will be imported from the US via Joberg, installation of the hydro sorter will take time, deconstruction, relocation and reconstruction of the mill will take time (I'd think a few days) during which time the plant won't be operating. Talks with Canmax ongoing but I expect they'll be piling on the pressure, they didn't loan him the money he needed so he raised (twice) and they're in a position where they can bargain hard. Part of that bargaining process I expect will be invoking the 90 day repayment clause.
There will be an EGM to authorise additional headroom for a further raise, jow much headroom? 10% ore more?. I'd bet that the brokers have already put out the feelers and if there's sufficient interest at a decent discount they'll be putting it all in place conditional on acceptance of the additional headroom at the EGM, too much risk of running out of cash if he has to wait 21 days and then get things in motion.
Cash burn is significant $1m for mining, up to $600k for diesel costs plus anything else.
It's all a bit of a shambles.