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Renewable Energy
Wind and solar are cheaper than gas - and that’s not about to change
30 Aug, 20235 Mins
You already know the benefits of the renewable energy transition. The arguments for net zero...
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You already know the benefits of the renewable energy transition. The arguments for net zero, the dangers of fossil fuels, the importance of sustainable, clean energy. But there’s one more reason that you may not be aware of, that might finally change the minds of those who continue to invest and promote conventional energy projects:
Renewable energy is now cheaper than fossil fuel generation.
New green energy projects have been cheaper than fossil fuel projects for a couple of years now, thanks to improvements in technology and economies of scale leading to rapid falling in prices - while fossil fuel prices, impacted by global events, have been going up.
And it’s set to continue. The average cost of a large-scale solar PV project fell 85% in the decade from 2010 to 2020. Then between 2020 and 2021 alone, the cost of electricity from onshore wind fell by 15%, offshore by 13% and solar PV by 13% - during a time when oil and gas prices skyrocketed.
A report by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) last month estimated that the renewable power added through new and upgraded projects in 2021 saved the global energy market around $55 billion US.
And by last year, it was estimated that new renewable energy projects were now cheaper to build, operate and maintain than existing oil and gas projects.
The milestones for renewables keep coming, with energy rates falling and construction getting more advanced. The only thing potentially holding these back is transmission and distribution networks, but projects to upgrade those are massively gaining traction globally.
A surprisingly economical energy transition
The results may be surprising, but there’s more to come. Research by Oxford University, published last year, suggests that ending fossil fuel use by 2050 could save the world’s markets at least $12 trillion.
Their research found that the prices of fossil fuels, existing for inflation, are still relatively similar to their cost 140 years ago. Despite many spikes caused by the ups and downs of global events, a long-term look shows that the market doesn’t really change.
Yet with renewables, the costs only trend downwards. These projects are much more dependent on the technology used, and that is improving all the time.
The researchers predicted that renewable energy production will outstrip oil and gas production within the next 10 years if current growth continued (solar energy production has increased globally by 44% each year since 1990, while wind power has increased by 23% per year).
And it’s now expected that the cost differences are very sustainable