RE: SII Ratio11 Mar 2026 10:43
I did some back of the envelope calculation. With dividends, buy backs and earnings, solvency capital is falling by APPX £800-900m pa. So next year the solvency ratio will be around 195% falling to APPX 180-185%, the following year. This means buy backs will come to a close after next year. On the plus side EPS and ROE should go up with the reduction in shares and lower equity base. Haven't a clue what it means for the share price longer term, but am inclined to think fundamentals will keep this as a good returner for a portfolio.