MARKET VALUE5 Oct 2018 00:51
To have some idea of how much Omi is understated in terms of its market cap, one needs to compare the initial production guidance in early 2017 and the results published recently.
Back in January last year, Omi's very early stage production guidance in terms of Soil tonnage was, according to Omi and Edison, the investment intelligence firm, only 1.6m T lower bound and only 2.7m T upper bound with grades of only 3.2g and 3.7g respectively. Based on such such low tonnage, but still very respectable grades, only 200,000 ounces of gold were estimated and Edison put an in-situ value of this estimation at an average of 6.8 cents per share or 5.4 pence per share. This was when gold was trading at $1300 (this is not significantly more than where the gold price is now and which is in fact forecast to increase in the near future).
As per my post on Tuesday at 23.58:-
Based on recent drill results we know the strike length is 1.5km.
We do not know yet the width of the strike but have assumed to be only 200 metres.
For the depth, based on grade results published, I have arrived at a depth of 320 metres after converting each of those results into an equivalent 3g per tonne.
Based on the above, we have
= 163,000,000 Tonnage
X 3 grams gold per tonne = 489,000,000 grams
489,000,000 ÷ 31g = 15 to 16 million ounces gold
If we assume a strike rate of such grades at say only 25 %, we have 4 million ounces.
With just 25% strike rate, the estimation now is some 20 times more than in early 2017. If the in-situ value placed in early 2017 by Edison was 5.4 p per share then if the above estimation is anywhere near the actual results then my own belief is that we are so much undervalued that its unbelievable and you can figure out where the price per share could end up.