Member Info for Pogo001

Janus1

Our Russian troll is still looking for a wiretap. He is also multiplying accounts as before, because after all, no one will express support like his own ego represented by himself. And the forum has not died. There is no specific information about ITV or its surroundings that is worth discussing. The share price remains in an upward trend and moves within a narrow band of quotes. Most speculative capital has abandoned this ship, because the risk of earning on declines has increased compared to what it was a year ago. This happened to the benefit of long-term investors, although maybe the monotony of changes in the share price and the lack of strong increases are becoming boring. For now, we are waiting for July 24, for financial results and above all forecasts and the announcement of dividend payment. In the short term we will probably stay in the 79-85 range, with a small chance of a drop and in the event of a rise probably with uncertainty whether the sale at the 84-85 level will not be punished by a breakout above 90 pence (and at least the entry of share prices into the new 88-96 channel).

All the best for the real long term ITV shareholders.

We will return to this discussion when most of the investors here either perish with their money or become "stinking" millionaires who consider their luck as a reason for pride. Because knowledge is poor here....

I dare say that if it weren't for the problems with faulty engines and all low-cost airlines had an efficient fleet, passenger numbers would look much worse on the market, probably below 88%. In addition, we would have higher unit costs, with a decrease in ticket prices and average profit per passenger. This is a problem that most people don't see. But I guarantee that large financial institutions and investors take this into account. In the case of Wizzair, waste and lack of contract security would be even more visible in the cost position. Wizzair has such a level of management as the level of management staff who represent it and make decisions.

Although it may be getting boring, I will repeat my opinion once again. I believe that in order to finance the necessary investments, it is necessary to obtain another source of financing. A drop in inflation and, consequently, interest rates below 3% in the perspective of the next few 5 years is unlikely. Fiscal burdens and various pseudo-ecological taxes are growing and will continue to grow. Even in a very optimistic scenario, Wizzair is not able to generate the appropriate cash flows to ensure this financing. In addition, a growing group of investors is becoming impatient, waiting for the announced for years: improvement of indicators and dividend payment. So, for me, stronger external financial support is becoming a necessity. And this means either a directed issue of shares or a loan with an option to exchange for shares. Both options at a large discount to the share price on the LSE. The later the board decides to do this, the lower the issue price will be and the greater the dilution of shares resulting from the size of new issue. Of course, bankruptcy can also be declared, but who will buy it? Potential European buyers would be interested only in the small part of the fleet owned by Wizzair and with some routes. Personel will run away to them on its own. So a purchase aimed at the Asian or African market is at stake, and of course Russia, which would very willingly take everything that flies and that Wizzair owns. Although of course when I talk about Russia, I mean it as a joke - because even after the war, the largest airlines will not be able to afford such purchases for a long time and no one will endure sanctions for a long time without Russia's defeat.

If I am right, the current increasing trading volume in the 1050-1100 range is building strong resistance to potential increases and preparing the ground for another deep and painful correction. Of course, optimists claim that this is a sign of market strength, shares are not being intelligently sold so as not to cause panic, quite the opposite. An optimist will consider this to be a buy back and a short-circuit before the share price increases. Oh well, we will soon find out. However, from my point of view, it seems much more intelligent to stay out of the market. Breaking the £10 level is a sure sign of another 25% drop. On the other hand, an increase above £13 should bring at least 15% profit. At present, at the 1060-1100 levels, we are exposing ourselves to the risk of significant losses. I myself do not accept investments with a risk above 1.5:1 in relation to expected profits, or at least in reverse proportion.

As I said before. I don't short any shares. As a rule and having many years of experience ... and a painful lesson on my private pocket. I treat Wizzair as a short-term speculative toy... when the time comes and never for more than 5% of my capital. "Shorts" at this level don't look too risky at all. Those opened at around 1300 have already earned their money and I think most of them have realized their profits. Those open at such levels (over 1500) remain on the market and that they will treat a possible price rebound as an opportunity to increase the number of short positions. This is my opinion, because from my point of view this company is heading in an uninteresting direction. Although it still has a chance. And as for the ratings - I was right about CINE, THG and a few others. Although this obviously doesn't mean that this time I will be right too. For now, I have invested my capital with a perspective until at least mid-2026, appreciating the solid dividend and peace of mind.

Causal

Thanks for the recommendation. Ha ha. So far I have no complaints about my ITV. I have 497,030 shares with an average price of around 66.7 pence. At today's valuation I am certainly not crying. And in store is another dividend (already paid regularly) which the company will announce on July 24. In addition, a good financial situation and speculations about a takeover... These are certainly not shares for the average Wizzair speculator, focused on quick profits and surprised by losses. Investing long-term and having a steady source of income, I am also a calm and patient player. I recommend this approach to investment.

Wizzair is an excellent company for speculative investment game. High trading volume, price above £10 (still), high volatility and dynamics of both increases and decreases in share price and low costs limited in reality only to transactional (tax-free) - this explains such great interest. However, this ship is a pirate ship, sailing on the rough waves of the ocean. And not everyone knows that it robs equally those who sail under the wrong flag even for a moment.

Sundezena

You should understand that waking up after such a long time wandering in the world of fantasy is definitely advisable, if only because of the decreasing resources of the investment portfolio... What about a slight spite on my part...? Well, but it is worth reading the comments flowing in my direction. I try to be objective. I really would not mind seeing the valuation of Wizzair shares at the level of £30 or higher. Unfortunately, the reality is the opposite and in my opinion we will see £8 sooner than even £16.

Returning to politics, ..., recent behavior of oil barrel prices suggests that in the armed conflict with Iran neither Israel nor the USA have said the last word. On the one hand, I would welcome with great satisfaction a change of government in Iran carrying the values ​​from before the revolution (but certainly not in the form of another Shah of Iran), on the other hand, however, it would probably mean a "politically chaotic" and unstable period in that region of the world in the long term. What this means for oil prices and even the level of world inflation, everyone probably knows. However, looking at the behavior of prices in the last week, well, I better be wrong. What will happen with Wizzair shares if I am right........?

Silence... like before a funeral. And only the guests realized that the ship was still sinking.

Rachel's nervous breakdown today coincided with publications talking about the necessity and probability of an increase in tax burdens due to the increasingly difficult budget situation. In addition, there were forecasts of a further slowdown in GDP growth with stagnation-recession tendencies. All this had a negative impact on both: the £ and the part of the stock market. The banks got their assxxxes kicked in connection with the valuation of the TSB share sale transaction.

As for the budget. Maybe it's time to finally cut benefits for illegal immigrants, money for free care and social spending. And finally deal with the thousands arriving here illegally every week. We voted for Brexit to finally deal with it. Today's governments are replacing the skilled workforce that previously flowed from the EU with people without education, from a culturally different community. The Labour Party will probably understand this when it completely destroys this country and after the next snap election. Maybe it's better that way. Time for a breath of fresh air and a broom that will sweep this mess.

.... At the end of today 1065-1080.

Tomorrow closing price under 1060. I think that we able to see minimum under 1040.

Have a good night fairy tale investors...

It's not even funny anymore that the drama in the commons ... chancellor is having a mental breakdown is the cause of the falls on the FTSE and the £ exchange rate. This shows the state of market sentiment and real concerns about the durability of the entire government, in the background financial decisions that should be made and concerns that they will be made based on the possibility of early elections. And this isn't good for the market, especially in the face of the growing threat of recession or at least stagnation.

Profit or loss is part of this game. But when you lose money at your own request, that's stupid.

Stille

And you know what I care about??? Ha ha :)

I generally don't care that people are stupid enough to waste and losing their money and believe in miracles. And today's data... it's worth looking at the reaction on the Ryanair's shares on the good? data, where we have a different huge scale of transport and a much better load factor. The fact that the number of transports has not decreased is not surprising, considering the number of planes grounded due to engine inspections. After all, it is normal for every company to move rolling stock from temporarily suspended connections.

Stay in your dreams...

As I said:

My forecast for Wizzair share price after the release of passenger number ... 1110 (20% chance) ...

At the end of today 1065-1080.

But it's only my opinion in the word of fairy tales and miracle believes.

... In addition, another dividend of at least 1.7 pence, which should be announced on July 24th.

Will be paid in November :)

In short term .. we all moving in the fog. If I look at the end of the year, assuming that nothing on the underlying market suddenly surprises causing another sudden crash, then I can say with full conviction that £1 is my minimum base position. In addition, another dividend of at least 1.7 pence, which should be paid on July 24th. Best regards

If you ask me about ITV it's wrong forum. But please remember about 5 pence on share dividend paid (over 6%) for long term investirs and my all year investment strategy like £20k invested on the start of this tax year which give me at the moment about 35% profit. And ITV.... more is coming.