Member Info for Pogo001

I'll remind optimists that in business, it's easy to lose money, but earning it comes with great difficulty. It's a long road from plan to implementation, preceded by months of investment. Ryanair has been building its route network in Poland for years, and Modlin has never was left. For Wizzair, it's a new airport and requires significant investment, and it will be many months before this destination allows them to break even. We'll discuss profits after a year of fully utilizing the aircraft based there. Furthermore, I don't see any connections to the UK in the announcements, which would allow them to attract both: any customers & polish emigrants (living in Scotland and rest of UK) who consider Warsaw their final destination and those who plan their connections in Modlin. We have this situation a couple years ago. At the moment Ryanair reigns supreme here, and without competing with them in Modlin, where fares are linked to passenger numbers, Wizzair simply won't be competitive or profitable. Let's remember that you rarely choose to transfer to another airline, preferring to travel with the same carrier. So, once again, the road to financial success for Wizzair will be long. And in the meantime, you have to bear the costs.

Only the realization of a few percent profit ...

Once again. For the share price to rise, you have to buy. And I don't see fresh long-term demand here, only the realization of a few profit propositions and, above all, an escape from a position in the stock. But that's just a dream...

Garydav2

If you look at the standards, we're talking about significant one-time losses, up to 20% of the contract value. This is also a loss of credibility, which affects the assessment of potential investors and investment partners. As for renegotiating the aircraft contract, we're also talking about significant costs. We shouldn't expect other aircraft types to be delivered on the same date as those originally ordered. It would be good if we didn't have to join the back of the queue. New aircraft aren't a problem for now, but in the second half of 2026 we should deal with an increase in passenger transport, although this depends largely on political factors. If so, the lack of a new fleet, combined with the lack of negotiated new agreements and connections, will become a major problem for Wizzair. Wizzair's payments connected to this situation will likely weigh on the next two quarters, unless the management decides to make this payment in the books in the following quarter. But I don't think so, because given the current financial situation, such a move is a balancing act when it comes to financial credibility. The debt is on the rocks. A further deterioration (which I estimate the chances of at over 60%) could shake the Wizzair debt market, necessitating the aforementioned new share issue or debt secured both by the company's assets and by a discounted offer to acquire a block of new shares. Such a situation would sharply reduce the market valuation of Wizzair shares and risk a hostile takeover of Wizzair through bankruptcy. Any problems with interest payments can result in specific creditor behavior. The example of how a prosperous company, due to poor investment decisions and a battle with institutional investors, becomes insolvent bankrupt, and how shareholders are robbed, is CINE. This was a company with a much longer history and, at one time, a higher market valuation than Wizzair. I will repeat this again and again. The source of Wizzair's prolonged problems is its flawed and authoritarian management policy, which discriminates against large shareholders. Wizzair will pay the price for this when it faces ongoing liquidity problems. And these will increase in the near future as it burns through cash. This risk is perceived by rating agencies, which describe the level of investment risk in the company's debt. The effects are visible in the share price.

The arrogance and hate I've heard before and have been hearing nonstop since £15 price level doesn't change the fact that we're at £10.19. I have personal satisfaction in accurately assessing the facts. I don't - towards people, realizing that the stupidity and self-absorption of so many here probably cost a fortune. But as I know, this painful, self-paid lesson won't teach anyone anything here.

To be realistic, subsequent share price averaging should double any previously invested amount. Then we have a chance to follow the falling share price, and a 10-15% rebound, imperceptible to those who have lost 50% or more from their peak, allows us to recoup losses. Otherwise, investing in shares is treated like a typical casino and roulette. After each loss, you double your stake, betting on "black" and hoping that the streak of "red" will finally break. Those who haven't seen their color after 30 spins know how that ends. Have fun. Looking at the close tomorrow, we should be testing £10, but maybe...

Proud-sounding "nicknames" don't change the fact that, when I read the posts posted under them, I realize their owners are simply idiots. But no offense.

The difference between £10.50 and £9 (though I think it will be much cheaper) is not 10%, but almost 15%. I won't say you have to be an idiot to miss that. I won't say that this approach to your investment portfolio is utterly stupid and suicidal, demonstrating a lack of imagination and any economic knowledge whatsoever. Well, that's not my problem. So is the foolish dwelling on the past, old friends, love stories, etc., on a forum where you should be seeking knowledge and inspiration for your investment direction... But apparently money doesn't buy happiness. So what's the point? Especially money wasted senselessly. Let me remind you that the basic rule of investing is NOT TO LOSE your capital, but who cares about such a platitude? Judging by the comments, similar sentiments were present a few months ago when I also warned, similar when we were at 1,350 or 1,250. I'm curious what the sentiment will be like when the price reaches £7 in a pessimistic scenario, and the company has to quickly raise new capital through another share issue or a loan with a conversion option, at a 20-40% discount to the market price. In any case, you had a chance today. I warned you.

It's interesting to hear investment advice from people with no economic knowledge or experience, let alone any real capital. You living in your dreams and in the world of fairy tales, that's your right. As I wrote yesterday, you had a chance to limit your losses.

I like the belief and euphory that decisions made two years too late can have a significant impact on the company's financial situation over the next six months, and on the share price for more than a single trading day. So, in my opinion, you had a chance to exit the shares, limiting your losses by a few percent. The forecast for the current week and the coming period remains unchanged. The question is whether today or tomorrow we'll see the price drop below £10, generating another sharp drop below £9.

One more thing: Exiting a joint venture entails costs and potential losses that appear on the balance sheet. I advise you to keep this in mind for the next three months.

SUSPENSION OF WIZZ AIR ABU DHABI OPERATIONS.

As a side note to this decision, I'd just like to remind you that I've been mentioning its necessity for a long time, and our homegrown "experts" and "pilots" were still talking until yesterday about the advantages of this market and the revenue it will ONE DAY generate from, as they said, reopened routes. As usual, Wizzair's management has missed its time and the most profitable period of this year. The restoration of connections won't happen overnight either. The new network will take at least six months, although some connections will likely appear from the end of September. However, the limitations here are airport capacity and the competition, which has long since focused on the intra-European development model and secured available slots and agreements with airports. I wish Wizzair luck in restoring connections in this atmosphere, while also considering the potential decline in intra-EU traffic due to falling household incomes. Those that have been waived by the management for at least two years won't be able to be recovered for many more months. This will have significant financial consequences.

How's the price averaging going today? I understand that to average, you need some capital, and there's none on this forum. So all you're left with is prayers and finding fault with those who warned you about this in the first place.

Under £10 - today or tomorrow?? I'm curious myself.

A deluge of silility, platitudes, mutual backstabbing and getting in each other's a**ss. Without little professionalism, and above all, a cool-headed assessment of the facts and the market. And next week, another deepening of year-long lows for Wizzair shares, prayers, shocks, and astonishment and looking for someone to blame. Only a few, like OTCDS2023 , try to understand.

Price praying doesn't achieve anything. If you want your shares price increase, you need to buy it, don't just pray for it to change. Well, you won't see any cash on this forum. Everyone who bought into Wizzair shares is praying now for price increases, living in a fantasy world and trying to find new ideas & new stupid investors that will fuel temporary increases in the share price. Some people on this forum are looking for memories of times gone by. Both those Wizzair shares priced at £50 and their youth spent in the sky. Old farts should quickly come back down to earth. As the Czech joke goes: "to se nevrací pane Havránek"...

It's hard to be optimistic in these times of chaos from the Labor Party government and Mr. Trump. In any case, vacation is the best solution. Soon :)

More important are Monday's Trump decision about Ukraine, about upcoming duties together with inflation data in USA on Wednesday.

Marty130

But we have 25 points rate cut decision August 7 (or 50 points)...

A little more optimism and patience.

Investing.com -- Shares of SSP Group PLC (LON:SSPG) dropped more than 7% on Friday after UBS cut its rating on the company to “sell” from “neutral,” citing weaker airline capacity growth and downside risks to earnings forecasts.

So what DavidKov says, maybe sometimes too malicious, is not that stupid and pointless.