Results23 Jul 2025 18:40
There's no point in arguing or discuss with idiots. All of Tom's incarnations slowly fade away as soon as the majority of people following this forum ignore his stupidity and apply filters. Thanks for all the substantive contributions and comments. Remember, it's pointless to comment on someone's mediocrity and lack of knowledge, especially when their knowledge is based not on facts but on a stock price chart. These investors always make money, always ride the wave, always sell at the local peak and buy at the lowest price. They are perfect... in their dreams. Yet, in everyday life, they are gray, expressionless, and moneyless. You can't explain to an idiot or a loser that their failures stem from their ignorance. While the share price drop from 86 to 77 pence may be painful, it's irrelevant from the perspective of a long-term investment strategy. With a portfolio of over 100,000 shares, the real selling price wouldn't exceed a lot over 83 pence, and the entire drop below 80 pence is the result of pent-up demand and the "squeezing" of shares from the pockets of random investors. This is also a kind of triumph for shorts. That someone might have made 3-4,000 pounds on every 100,000 ITV shares they own? That I lost, say, 20,000 pounds on my portfolio? When you have little or nothing, you just look at the numbers without delving into the details. If you don't understand what I'm talking about, well, that's your problem. And tomorrow? I expect a 5-7% drop in advertising revenue, with a noticeable increase in revenue generated by YouTube, Studio (+25%), streaming hours (over 20%), and ITVX advertising revenue (+20%) – all compared to the previous year. The company will present similar growth prospects, highlighting threats related to external threats and the upcoming restrictions on food advertising (although I believe there's no threat here—producers will try to heavily advertise "new" substitute products). The issue of Studio's revenue growth from the US market will be discussed, along with good prospects for the non European market as a whole. The dividend remains unchanged at 1.7 pence. Further reductions in operating costs. Full repayment of the ITVX investment. There's likely no news regarding the merger, though there's a small chance of discussions about spinning off Studio to improve ITV's valuation. The overall outlook is optimistic, with the price returning above 80. The pessimistic scenario is 75+, and the hurray for optimism is 89+. However, the issue of US tariffs on the EU and the defense response will play a significant role. In any case, at the current price level, even with balanced results, even a weak macroeconomic outlook shouldn't cause any shock. If Trump reaches an agreement with the EU or extends the implementation of the 85+ target, anchoring it above 85 pence will become very likely. The upcoming interest rate cut will increase demand for dividend-paying companies. My forecast for the interest rate level is a decline t