Member Info for Pogo001

Stille

I am a private investor. I invested my money long term in different company. I like WIZZAIR because of shares liquidity and volumeIn addition, the ease of predicting larger movements, what gives chance no losses and a high probability of profit, even if we enter the market too quickly. This sometimes gives me the opportunity to quickly make money speculatively. And only when I have no alternative in the form of calmly earning money on long-term investments. At the same time, I immediately say that I do not bet on short positions. I feel too old to start earning money in life from scratch again. One thing is for sure - WIZZAIR shares or any company from this sector are not the ones I would like to have in my retirement fund.

A simple calculation of fixed costs combined with the costs of the new fleet (based on credit) shows that when someone are talking about £60 for WIZZAIR shares is not even fantasy. And we are talking about the share price prediction for at least minimum of 5 years term from today. Forecasting anything for a longer period in the case of airlines is simply stupid. And if it is possible to forecast anything, I believe that the problem of financing based on credit can only be solved by a new issue of shares, directed to a large financial partner. This is a move that definitely dilutes the value of the current shares on the market, which from the point of view of an investor in the UK are not worth much anyway, because the issue value at the level of 1/100 of a penny is ridiculous and does not guarantee any rights to shareholders. So from my point of view, if there is an improvement in financial indicators and the engine repair problems are mostly solved, the first thing that the company's management will want to ensure will be a change in the form of financing the necessary investments. And here we will be dealing with either a targeted share issue or a loan based on the exchange formula for the company's shares. So this means only one thing, that the peak of possibilities for WIZZAIR shares will be the price level of around £20 and only if a new method of financing investment plans does not appear on the market earlier. From today's point of view I think that all this not earlier than the end of 2026 or possibly the beginning of 2027. However, such long-term forecasts do not make sense in the case of WIZZAIR, because this company depends too much on the macroeconomic and political environment, and here forecasts even for a few months are burdened with too much fiction. We are invest ovn money. We need to understand and predict the future and determine the necessary economic decisions. Sometimes win, sometimes lost, but in the long run we have to make money.

On the other hand, with over 6% of open SHORTS positions

When I reading all the comments encouraging people to buy WIZZAIR shares, I admire the optimism of the people writing them. On the other hand, with over 6% of open positions, I wonder to what extent they are sincere and reflect their own beliefs and to what extent they are based on an opposite position taken on the market. We had similar comments suggesting increases at the price of £17, £15, and recently just after a drop below £13. And each time it was only supposed to get more expensive. And reality shows that it is getting worse and the chances of improving the macroeconomic situation are decreasing same as financial crisis in Wizzair is deeper, which means that the chances of prices falling to around £8 are increasing. And we have 24th July ahead of us and more than 70% chance of more negative predictions coming from the company. In addition, the real chance of earning in 2025 is only the holiday season. And here, poorly selected routes or a scarce base of fully operational aircraft do not bode well for the level of potential profits that can be generated. So, it is worth congratulating the universal optimism. Unfortunately, investments based on fairy tales usually end very painfully in the real world. From my point of view, ending the WIZZAIR share price at the end of 2025 at the level of £11 will already be a success. However, I think that the second half of the year will be a series of further declines in the share valuation, leading us inevitably to the aforementioned levels of around £8 or even lower in the event of further market turmoil.

Price fluctuations are and will probably be an opportunity for large speculative earnings both when playing shorts or buying at local lows. But you have to be aware of the potential risk of catching losses of around 15-20% of capital loss, which should not be surprising given the dynamics of WIZZAIR share price changes. Everything else is simply fantasy and fairy tales in the current situation.

And so looking at politics from the sidelines... Keir Starmer Offers want to change UK TV market regulations, what is in my opinion should increase at least a 20-30% in market valuations of the entire media sector. From the point of view of large players it will count possible chances for mergers and acquisitions and potential increase in revenues and profits generated by individual groups. This also heralds a much more interesting fight for shares in STUDIO if it was decided to spin it off and ITV sold, say, 30% of the shares through the LSE. I am betting that today's STUDIO valuation made by analysts in the range of £3-5 billion would be much closer to the upper price range or higher. We will see, although if Starmer signaled the government's desire to change the media market, the question is not if? but when? And here I think the regulator has a chance to give a clear answer this year.

The next incarnations of Tomalley or / and the next "thinkers" on this forum have been added to Filters. As we have over 80 pence not under 50 pence ITV shares price idiot Tom is silent finally (but only on the basic nickname) .A swamp similar to advfn is slowly forming here and it's easy to find nicknames who write the same sh##t on both forums. "Speech is silver but silence is golden." Less than a month until financial results and Dividend's announcement. You are only a loser or winner when you close your investment. Be patient!! All the best to the true long term ITV shareholders.

Https:

//benchmarkbeat.com/tech/netflix-strikes-landmark-deals-with-frances-tf1-to-display-traditional-tv/

1200 ...ha ha ha

Stinking egg!

As I said before. Wizzair's erroneous and stupid policy, which abandoned low-profit but steady and reliable profit-generating connections in Central Europe and Great Britain. All this in contrast to plans, where, focusing on increasing profits and revenues in unrealistic plans for connections with the USA or the Middle East, it did not take into account the geopolitical situation and Trump's coming to power. Let's remember that abandoning routes and connections means moving bases or personnel. This cannot be reversed overnight. Just as the allocation of slots in a given region of Europe or the world cannot be quickly reversed. Today, the grounding of the fleet related to technical problems is compounded by the lack of possibility of using efficient aircraft. These few months are the most profitable period of the year. And more importantly, it is not certain that flights in the Middle East zone will become safe within the next dozen or so. We do not know what solutions and when the eventual end of the conflict with Iran will bring, and also whether the effect will not be an increase in terrorist threats in that region. Rebuilding the network of European connections would mean the need to change the concept and, above all, it is expensive and long-lasting. The mistakes made earlier will weigh on the company for the next few years. And the real chance of improvement after 2027 will be simultaneously related to the probable jump in costs and competition in the scope of air transport throughout Europe. So at least the perspective of the next 12 months is not optimistic here. And it is probably not yet included in the market valuation of Wizzair shares. I hope I am wrong that the forecast of £8 was too optimistic.

No chance of improving financial indicators and ratings in the next 12-18 months. On the way to £8 - nothing to add, nothing to subtract. Apart from the fact that the level of 800 may still turn out to be too optimistic.

And one more thing. The sell-off at 86p was supposed to have pushed the price down to 72-75p in my opinion. This was supposed to allow for a cheap buy of "hot ITV shares" and a repurchase of previously sold ITV shares. Judging by the size of the fall, structure, orders size and volume, someone must have miscalculated. Suddenly there were both small buyers and someone bigger who took advantage of the opportunity. We still in the game. Is that seller was right? We will probably find out who was right up to the middle of next week. Given the lack of US stock market trading on Thursday, perhaps Friday will show us the next direction for the ITV share price.

Regardless of all our opinions or thoughts (excluding filtered), let's look at the facts. The Israel-Iran conflict is developing and is unlikely to end within the next week. Iran is hitting hard, also causing political, probably negative consequences for the Israeli authorities. So, increasing force without looking at civilian casualties from point of view of Israel is slowly becoming more and more likely. The markets are clearly in limbo and fear. Against this background, we have ITV shares currently at practically the closing price with a volume of over 9 million shares. Those interested should answer the question of why this is happening. Because not so long ago we would probably have panic and annual lows on ITV. In addition, let's think about where the possible support levels are in the event of a sell-off and what can bring us peace on the political scene. In my opinion we have strong support above 76 pence (when it comes to closing the day) but in the other direction, .. In oder direction to say true, I don't know. I am really not able to say it will be only 95-96 pence, or whether we will suddenly not find ourselves at the level of £1.2 or higher. With the current concentration of the market by big fish and the competition between them, talking about a barrier to growth or its limitation to buy ITV cheaply is stupidity to me. It was already cheap and some on this forum have been talking about it for a long time.

From my point of view, no worries. I have a large portfolio of stocks with a low average purchase price. I also invest long-term, so I waited out even worse situations. And if the opportunity arises, I will definitely use the credit card debit.

..that the boys from across the Ocean have

Winstanley

You wrote a couple days ago about £2 next year same time... It's look that should be much faster.And I'm betting that the boys from overseas have started playing in the merger game, or rather the takeover. What I've already mentioned is starting to have arms and legs, ceasing to be mere speculation.

And we know who is buying now..

83.05 after 4.35pm, with am extra 8 million shares top up. As for myself it's under my predictions, but looking not bad.

Leaving the market with a portfolio containing 10k ITV shares at a realistic range of around 85.50 and returning around 81p gave a profit of around 480 shares (£390). A lot? A little? As far as I'm concerned, the profit does not justify the risk (around 5% compared to a possible 4-12% move with a break of 89p to a potential barrier around 95-96p). An increase in the value of the portfolio above 50k shares means of course a bigger profit but also a drop to around 4% profit. But congratulations to those who made a profit.... Although, as far as I'm concerned, an expected profit to risk ratio of less than 3:1 misses the point and in the long term and statistically leads to losses, or at least is not able to achieve a return as from the "buy and wait" formula. Anyway, that's it for today. In the coming week, I'm curious about the BOA's decision. In the current market situation, with my economic education and knowledge I would be inclined to lower the interest rate by 0.25 points. However, the political situation and the related increase in oil and gas prices will most likely translate into an increase in inflation. In my opinion, despite everything, looking at other economic indicators and the reduction in the official energy cap price next month, a reduction in the interest rate next Thursday is still most advisable.

Looking at the order book, we are back to the situation from the last few days. Our big buyer seems to be sleeping for a while. I think that part of the market, due to the political situation and the lack of quotations in the US this Thursday, is counting on an opportunity. The low volume may be an opportunity for small investors here. However, large purchases without creating panic are rather doomed to failure. In any case, the range of recent fluctuations in the price of ITV shares from 75.20 to 86.25 is impressive and creates an incentive to take risks. From my point of view, in the case of long-term investors, this may be a risk of exiting the investment without a real possibility of returning at a better price. But as I always say, this is just my point of view and investment strategy on the growth market of undervalued assets. In any case, as always, I encourage you to open short positions. ;) My risk level does not accept them

Opening below expectations but the scale of supply of ITV shares is not scary. Let's wait and see what the situation will be like during the first hours of trading. Political risk at a high level but it should not be overestimated but rather treated as an opportunity. Of course I am writing this from the point of view of an ITV shareholder.

I generally don't care much about money. I have good job and other priorities. If what I think happens, half of my profits will go to those who need it the most. However, in connection with the current situation between Iran and Israel plus the rest of the thinking and supposedly democratic world, I hope that they will not serve as they do now to kill invaders but to rebuild Ukraine. Regardless of what I think about the current political authorities of Israel, they are doing all of us in the democratic West a huge favor, paying for their actions, just like Ukraine, with the lives of their citizens. While criticizing them, let us remember who is the real aggressor here, destroying our world for years.

...All the best for the real long-term ITV shareholders. Patience is a key of the success.