Member Info for Pogo001

Winstanley

I agree with you.

As for ITV next weeks future I maintain my opinion regarding Monday's opening in the range of 84.50-85.20. I also believe that the current upward movement that we are dealing with in the ITV share price probably has much more measurable bases than its undervaluation or the change in the ratio to assets generating dividend income exceeding the expected level of inflation and, above all, market interest rates. And everything indicates that it is related to predictions about the future and possible changes to the entire structure of ITV, starting from the merger, through the separation of individual assets (both as a result of an agreed merger and a hostile takeover) and also in response from the CEO and board of ITV, as a defensive operation to certain actions. All this should lead to a rapid increase in the valuation of ITV shares in the short term, closer to US than EU standards (i.e. closer to P/E of 25 than 12). I believe so because it is there in the US that I see capital that can smoothly take over ITV's assets while obtaining the greatest real benefits. In addition, the companies representing him have sufficient funds not to worry about valuations based on the European stock market prices, and thanks to their offer, beat their local competitors. This stream of cash is flowing into Europe in an increasingly wide stream. And nothing will stop it. If my predictions and forecasts based on specific economic facts (which I have been talking about clearly for several years) are correct, then the valuation level I assumed in the range of £2-3 will appear much sooner than at the turn of 2026 and 2027. And one more thing that I have been telling all doubters for a long time. If this happens, the queue of people willing to buy ITV shares may not be very long, but it will provide us with quick and decent profits. The British, European or American market, where ITV operates dynamically and is expanding and developing on a grand scale, will provide us, the shareholders of this company, with even greater excitement. I do not think that those who have already joined this game would want to give up the field cheaply for takeover and domination in these markets. An appropriate capital base plus a specific position on the market as an addition to ITV are able to create a money-making machine for many years. So I myself am waiting for the first specific offer, and then a real answer from those who deal the cards firmly and dictate the terms. And the CEO... as I said. She is a successful woman, whose ITV is probably the last child in her career. So let's not expect an offer below the price representing a specific reference to this time when she came to ITV with her vision, to do some necessary cleaning here. I think that the price about £2 is a absolutely minimum. Of course I have the right to be wrong. But I placed a bet of around £260k that I'm right. So I think I know exactly what I'm playing for and why.

All the best fo

Ross62

All depends on price & amount of ITV shares you have that you have sold. With an investment of 10-20k shares it is still relatively easy to enter or exit the ITV share market (without having to go through several price levels in the range of 0.5% shares price or more). However, if you buy / sell 50k ITV shares or more - problems will certainly appear and the price will average out in a larger range. In my opinion, if you want to achieve above-average profits you should invest a large percentage of your entire capital in company of your choice and realistically do not accept small profits when the prospects of the share price growth exceed a given price level many times. Aggressive buying and waiting until a clear correction or the initial acceptable by us share price (past level price which you accepted before move up not those when the market is growing), then give us a chance for real big profits. Otherwise we will always be doomed to tread water. As for Monday, at the moment, if we are talking about the Israel-Iran conflict or press articles that "slightly" suggest where the recent dynamic increases in the ITV share price may be coming from - I am inclined to forecast Monday's opening of the ITV share price in the range of 84.50 to 85.20 pence with a strong buy position and with volume exceeding 1 million shares by 9 a.m. In a positive scenario, breaking through the supply barrier at 86 pence should not be a problem, but rather an opportunity to buy a large number of shares. I think that on Friday most of the panicking but selling ITV shares with profits small and speculative investors fled the market, most of the supply of shares hanging at this level was also removed and in addition a lot of small speculative capital entered the falling market betting on shorts (due to the share price reversal from 86.25 and believing that the Israel-Iran conflict will spread over the weekend and collapse international stock markets at least at the opening on Monday - and I do not believe in that at least at 7 pm on Sunday). In any case, you will soon see for yourself financial consequences yours decision to sell ITV shares made by you on Friday. Especially since it is usually easier to sell shares than to decide to return to the same investment.

Greycoat

As I checked, someone here is a fan of THG like our local troll Tomalley... In any case, I do not recommend investing in bankrupts, .. , low liquidity is sometimes a guarantee of paper profits, but leaving such an investment with a real profit (with the difference between offered purchase and sale price of a few or a dozen % and with doubtful demand intended to create a good impression) borders on a miracle. In general, for me, THG is currently a typical speculative company for would-be millionaires or trolls like Tomalley.

I strongly recommend considering your investment strategy according to the principle that "a small spoonful we may have to eat longer but without wasting half the soup."

For all the interested trolls who have been making millions for years, let me just remind you of the state of my portfolio:

497030 ITV shares (ISA 176600), paid £332510

included £76150 from divi - most of reinvested). Average price: 66.8994 pence per share. Investment started in February 2022 at £1.18, £94k. I am not counting profits yet... I will provide these when my price is realized in the range of £2-3 (depending on sale date).

ITV plans to combine TV production with All3Media are 'advancing', reports the Mail on Sunday, 16 March 2025

86.15

just 3 pence more...

All the best for the real long-term ITV shareholders.

89+

:)

I said before something about 89+ on Friday's close.

Hm...

Still probably

I won't repeat myself, but "I told you so it will be happend" just last Thursday 5th of June when we had a 75.30 price. And now let's think which price should have ITV shares today if there were no "leaks" on the global market from about 2 weeks that something was up in Iran-Israel relations. I am talking about oil prices, which was visible in the sharp price increase from price under $60 per barrel (despite the declared increase in production), although officially this increase was blamed on the US-China talks. I don't believe that it wasn't any connection with today's attack, especially after last two days evacuation of American embassy personnel.. What would the ITV share price be today if not for the Israeli planned attack? An interesting question, especially since as can be seen from the current share price of 84.10 (84.15 maximum) and the volume of over 5 million shares. It's look like a ITV shares market ignores political situation and buying as much possible. If I am right, I think that this time we will probably break the £1 level before or just after the information that clearly causes this confusion and will probably appear soon.

Patience, patience, patience...

We have 83 pence, 4.3 milion shares volume. As I predicted, and in addition, it gives a chance to close in the range of 83-85 pence and to 89+ already on Friday.

Https://ukinvestormagazine.co.uk/itvs-sum-of-parts-values-the-company-at-more-than-double-the-current-market-cap-temple-bar-investment-trust/

£82.04 Slowly, calmly, buying shares from still doubters with low volume over 1.7 million shares. As I said yesterday. Now we wait for a breakout with a volume increase of over 4 million shares. Price 89+ ahead of us. We'll see if I was right or if we go back to the cat and mouse scenario (although I think we have a fair chance here of 65:35)' Patience is the key to success.

ITV is one of the most shorted companies in the FTSE 250 index. And that is true. However, I am always surprised by the opinion of those who, in connection with this, consider this company to be worthless and a risky investment. All without delving into the numbers and statistics. An example is the "Canada Pension Plan Investment Board". This fund opened its first short positions in December 2023, at an average price of around 60.5 pence, on shares representing 0.52% of the share capital, or approximately (in simplified terms 21 million ITV shares). To date, since the period of opening these "shorts" positions, a dividend of 13.3 pence per share has been paid, which means that the level of the originally opened short positions falls to around 47.2 pence. Given the ITV share price of 80p this would mean a loss of around £6.9 million on this position. Is this realistic? Are the people running this fund idiots? Or is it simply as I have suggested. These positions secure a long position in the shares of at least 21 million shares, and probably (as is usually assumed) a multiple of 3x to 5x the ITV share position. This allows you to diversify your risk and make a profit at least from the dividends paid, without much concern about the share price. A similar situation can be found with other short positions, where they strangely "randomly" show small fluctuations in percentage of the share capital, and historically at longer prices together with the dividends paid theoretically generate large losses. And this is the basis for the relatively high "short" position in ITV shares, which the market and large institutional investors treat as a good long-term investment with minimal risk and giving a chance for real profit growth associated with a small increase in asset valuation.

Historically, delving into the available investment data of such investors, one can come to the conclusion that similar investments usually lasted 2-3 years and ended with an exit from the short position as well as probably from the company's share capital. When it comes to the change in the value of shares, in most cases the value of shares increased by 80-200%, although if we delve deeper, we will find losses of 20-30%, but also an almost 5-fold increase in the value of shares. So in my opinion it is not idiots who open short positions leveraging much larger ones opened in company shares on the stock market. Patience is a key to success.

The scenario of driving down the price with small orders of a few shares, creating the impression of a strong trend - we have practiced all this once again recently. For the "differently wise" it is a typical scheme of draining the market of shares by the larger - largest players. Limiting the level of real decline here at the same time creates financial protection of the valuation of the shares held. The strategy is quite effective, usually ends with a strong breakout in an upward trend. As I always say, it is worth being patient. And when you have free funds, it is wise to invest them, realizing that someone who manipulates the market like this is not fighting for a 10% profit.

My predictable scenario: A small correction (maybe to the level of 79.00) - gathering supply along with the involvement of speculative capital generating "shorts". Volume should reach up to 1.5 million shares (but due to the market being sold off and losses on short positions we probably won't reach more than 1 million). Then a return movement with a break of the last peak at the price level of 82 pence. What then? If there really is some information hanging in the background, we will quickly break this year's maximum at the level of 89 pence. If not, the cat and mouse game will move to the level of 79-86 pence.

And again....

: 76.50

Strong Buy

ITV 5 Jun 2025 11:01

".... So I predict an increase in the price of ITV shares to the level of at least 81 pence, with an increase in volume, with large fluctuations in the price of shares in individual sessions suggesting a short-lived rebound. As usual, this is to serve to take shares from "hot hands". It will also allow for buying shares sold by short players. Will it end like last time, i.e. a repeat of the fun - I do not predict that. One thing is for sure - at some point short holders will cry and short-term players buying ITV shares for a quick resale will also grit their teeth.

Patience is a key of the success."

Dreams, dreams, dreams...

Time to wake up.

£10 will be tested very soon.

Should have a button...

Alboumphoto

You absolutely right. This forum should have "you're talking sh..t" or "it's laughable". Many trolls here really still live in a world of imagination and fairy tales. And all you need to deny it ... is paste one screenshot. Like me, although obviously I won't show my entire bank account or the one from e-toro where I have some of the ITV shares, and I pay for them to have direct insight into the transaction and the level of offers. But most of my investment and ITV shares go through the banking group anyway,.., just to be sure. In any case, we had 81.80, and the maximum from the last few months was probably 83.25. All it looks as a dream, .. If it wasn't for a 7% increase seemingly out of nowhere. Is it a sign that someone knows something and that we will all find out about it soon, I don't know but probably because of scale and over 5 milion shares. volume

If something is actually going on... on Friday we will be over 89 pence with a new yearly high.