RE: New podcasts5 Jan 2021 11:05
petwilkinson - you suggest Boombangarang shows a "lack of understanding"
The assumed exit price is in line with recent M&A in the private space like Wondery $300m to Amazon. Wondery is the 4th largest and Audioboom is 6th. It's clear as day in the Triton reports.
tritondigitalv3.blob.core.windows.net/media/Default/PodcastReports/US%20Podcast%20Report_November%202020.pdf
Wondery revenue is "expected to be" $40m in 2020. AB expected to be $25m+ and Wondery were not profitable. Wondery has raised $15m in total. 10m in 2019 with $25m revenue at post-money value of $100m+ at least 2x AB current sp valuation.
AB has raised less ($11.6m) and has to dance around additional "funding options" because it is public and the same criticisms petw makes in the post. All of this information is available with simple online searches. Even if AB is half the revenue of Wondery $150m would be inline with recent M&A for AB or 3x + current sp.
Profit assumptions may affect some share buyer decisions, but I suspect public listing and share price holds the sale back currently, not profit. I would assume the management and controlling shareholders are not interested to sell cheap and why would shareholders want that either? It doesn't take a genius to deduce that acquirers can't publicly be seen to pay 3x or more of a sp. If the sp goes up nearer to recent m&a, a sales is increasingly likely at a premium to the share price. If the sp goes to £5 a 30% premium of £6+ is not an unreasonable assumption.