RE: Dual RNS’s today26 Nov 2024 08:39
Lets be generous to the indian Govt, and say they gave us the same deal as Owais and low-ball all the stats...
Start up charges of $60m and $60 performance, then Owais take 34.7 percent of the value of the gold in the ground.
The pure gold vlaue per ounce of 6.7moz (not including the increased amount) is 6.7 x say 2000 dollars to be generous... so 13.4bn dollars. Googling cost to mine at 1345 per oz, so costs c. 9bn to mine leaves 4.4bn total profit (obs the gvt is benefitting from multiple factors here in addition (employment, industry, additional minerals etc etc).
Owais cut of 4.4bn is 1.5bn US, minus the 120m charges = 1.38bn US - £1.1bn sterling.
Divide by 195m shares = £5.64 share price. And that RNS should see us start to move towards 20% of that as in other arbitration cases... so should be trading at £1.13 or so when arbitration kicks off.
Thats if we assume we'd accept the same sh1111tty deal as Owais bid for.
And that is our lowball india-generous amount.
Throw in to theat the increased resource, today's gold price, a more favourable deal with the GoI, and you can see how it multiplies up from there...
Right, MB,.... you can start the process now and I look forward with total confidence for an SoC in the 1bn plus region in the new year...
PK