RE: Jersey Registered Company18 Aug 2022 14:27
Attempting to predict when a "war" (sum of all battles) ends is simply folly, each of us will have our own opinion based on vague, pre-approved, snippets of information, from the untold tapestry of truth. Those who are in control of the wars (political leaders and their backers, not military leaders) will not pay so much attention to the battles won or lost, but the larger economic picture. That of inevitable transition.
https://youtu.be/xguam0TKMw8
The true investors among us, will zoom out and comprehend the larger picture. My personal feeling is that we are at the beginning of the 20 year transition...things will no doubt get significantly worse, before better, Ukraine being of small significance to the grand scheme, Taiwan being the main event. If history is anything to go by, hegemony only lasts so long....I don't think that'll change in our lifetimes.
Sometimes we have to put dogged patriotism and ego to one side, the financial markets don't care for either. The likes of Pelosi and Co placing their option trades ready to monetise policy/economy change, should be all you need to make a credible appraisal of the situation.
My believe is that, whilst POLY has a foot in both camps (East and West), which brings its challenges, it is better placed in a transitioning market. However, like the ending of any relationship, the disgruntled ex will do all they can to scupper your future, even cutting off their metaphoric nose, ultimately it only slows your assent to a bright future. The POLY management team, hopefully, will be focussing on the longer term strategy, not short term reactionary change.
The economic war will dwarf any physical war thus far. Next steps, interest rates tank, $ devaluation.