Outcomes10 Jun 2024 21:44
Given the date flags given in the previous company updates, there must be an RNS issued by the end of this week.
If the deferred payments have not been made and the lenders / holders have not agreed a further extension, then if I’m reading it right, that could mean adminstration. This would presumably wipe out shareholders.
If a deal with lenders / holders is agreed then this means D4E at some level and a dilution for shareholders. As the sums involved must be around 400m at a minimum, that means shareholders value will decrease by at least 75% ie if you hold stock at a value of £10k, that will be worth £2.5k post D4E if my understanding is correct.
I would expect any takeover to be hostile and if so I would have expected some kind of significant accumulation to have taken place. We’ve seen a few big buys over the last week but nothing on that scale.
My worry is that time is running out for a takeover solution. Nothing substantial has leaked.
Today’s price drop has all the familiar signs of a typical PFC drop off.
Shorts are sitting tight.
I’m happy not to be holding right now. I still want to get back in but it’s stacked to heavily on the risk side at the minute.
Good luck to holders. Don’t listen to me, but DEFINITELY don’t listen to those over ramping.
Fingers crossed 🤞