RE: Disappointing23 Jun 2022 14:29
Sandy, if I've been more sceptical about BBPM itself, it's more to do with how AP sells it - it's always about the next rainbow, ignoring the fact that your getting wet right now - so many diversions and distractions to stretch the timelines out
Conceptually, re-opening a brownfield site, even an underground one can have merits, especially as both the copper and gold price are higher than the previous times it has closed down. However, commodity prices are just one (important) factor, the condition and size of the ore body remains are obviously crucial - that's one of the big Qs I've consistently had, is the amount of delineation drilling has always felt inadequate
Personally, if the Bod are confident of the ore body, more definition of resources would have created far better opportunities for non-bucket shop finance - afterall if the asset is really that good, how come the best finance they could get needed 200% collateral cover with a 10% coupon?
We've both made our own estimates re how much revenue they need to generate by May next year (or yet another can kicking refinace will be needed at shareholders expense) but never see the ramping brigade trying to actually come up with any figures of how much ore they need to mine to produce sufficient concentrate by then. To me, that curve feels steep, but would be more than happy to see logical POVs broken down