RE: What’s going on.18 Apr 2019 20:15
Worth remembering:
According to the Q4 update Vametco production costs were $19.7 kgV for 2018 and even better for Q4 at $18 kgV. The average price in 2018 for kgV was given as $81 kgV and this generated Ebitda of $107 million!
The above figures demonstrate that Vametco is very profitable at $40 to $50 kgV, but even more so at $70 to $80 kgV which it achieved in Jan and Feb. Given the one month lag in pricing even March may average the latter value. In which case Q1 Ebitda would look rather good should they choose to publish it.
If Q1 production is up on 2018 Q4, as some here have suggested, then the numbers could be even more positive.
The genius of Fortune Mojapelo's strategy, announced long before anyone else was talking about a low cost vertically integrated vanadium platform, is that the company (and therefore those shareholders with sufficient patience, is in a win win situation. Low vanadium prices encourage VRFB development and BMN is poised to drive that market in SA and beyond. Higher vanadium prices and profits from sales to the steel industry rise. Either way BMN is likely to be very profitable.
It is a pity that recent short term sp movements have diverted attention away from the very exciting future with BMN. However those that know and understand this company should recognise what I am suggesting.
But remember, and as I always point out, this is just my opinion. It is not advice. DYOR, take responsibility for your decisions and don't cop out by blaming others.
Regards. Pdub.