RE: Just started to hold14 Dec 2021 11:15
NAV : £2.1482 per share.
PE : 4.31 (good for sector)
Dividend cover : 2.44x
Dividend : 9.8%
ROE : 20.48%
Debt Ratio : 97.56%
Looking at all data including the above would indicate to me that the price I paid is reasonable, i.e. fair, based on current figures. There is nothing that would suggest anything currently known or reasonably foreseeable is likly to have a major negative impact on the SP or its performance.
Its not unreasonable to suggest that the general uncertainty in the markets at the moment is depressing the SP by 10%, which has nothing to do with the performance of MNG. I see no reason that in a normal market MNG would not be trading at £2, possibly a little more. This is not what I would consider a growth stock, and it pays a decent % return on my investments in the form of dividends.
I'm not sure I understand your comment, any stock is at risk of a 'black swan' event, it cannot be factored into any investment decision with any stock, one can only make decisions on what is known or can reasonably be expected at the time the investment is made. Risk can be mitigated to some extent to counter poor investor decisions and 'black swans' by diversification throughout sectors, stocks, geographical areas, etc.
For this stock I would see sub £1.85 as cheap and £2.40+ as getting expensive in the current climate. For me personally the SP does not change the fundemental reason of investing in the stock, it does not alter the stocks fundementals, it only impacts the level of risk I am willing to accept. I do obviously understand that others may have a different way of valuing a stock and evaluating risk.