To Buy or Not To Buy?13 Oct 2021 17:21
Regarding the 50% due diligence reduction, my understanding is that it's 'up to' 50%, so even if a reduction does apply, it could be less than 50%.
I know this is a dazzling vision of the bleedin' obvious, but SL is either going ahead, or it's not - that is an absolute certainty.
I'm here at least to see SL FID, or better still sanctioned. It's possible that RKH could be taken out before that happens.
If none of that happens, then I agree that, even with a big OM pay out, there's unlikely to be much to distribute, once the vultures have picked over the carcass.
But I'm not here for that.
As I said from the beginning, this was always going to be a bet, not an investment, but it isn't over yet by a very long way.
I think the current kerfuffle about energy supply and prices emphasises just how reliant humanity is on energy. At the moment, there isn't enough renewable energy to meet a fraction of the overall demand, let alone reliable renewable energy, so oil and gas continue to take the strain.
There's always the risk that SL won't go ahead, but as things are now, I can't see it not going ahead.
With the 40th anniversary of the Falkland War next April, there's going to be a great opportunity for Boris to make some grand jingoistic gesture to galvanise support before an early election, just as Thatcher did before the 1983 election, which she spectacularly won.