RE: Red Braces Brigade14 Mar 2020 18:03
This is why I decided to drop BP and Shell on the bounce on Friday. On the face it a 12% div looks a no brainer, but as Buffet says anyone who invests just for dividends is nuts. Will be a long time before growth returns both in demand and price by the look of oil futures. I think there are a few stocks around that will make a lot more than 12% this year, especially if you play the swings right.
11% drop in demand fro air travel. Chinese to stop importing oil from Middle East.
From Oil Price:
WTI Crude prices are set to average $30.37 a barrel in the second quarter this year and $37 for the full year.
Russia aims at U.S. shale. According to the Wall Street Journal, Russian President Vladimir Putin asked Rosneft’s chief executive prior to the collapse of the OPEC+ negotiations if Russian oil companies can withstand low oil prices. Igor Sechin replied that low oil prices “are great because they will damage U.S. shale.” Outwardly, Moscow does not link its motivations to an intention to harm U.S. oil companies, but Russia had grown wary of the OPEC+ cuts, which contributed to a 4-mb/d increase in U.S. shale over the past three years. Also, multiple reports suggest that U.S. sanctions on Nord Stream 2 and Rosneft stoked ire in Moscow.
BofA: Russia can withstand low prices. “Russian companies can ensure sustainable production until oil hits $15 to $20 per barrel,” Karen Kostanian, a Moscow-based oil and gas analyst with Bank of America, told Bloomberg.
China’s oil trader tries to back out of deals. Unipec, the trading arm of China’sSinopec, is trying to avoid taking delivery of at least four supertankers of oil for April, according to Bloomberg.
Premier Oil’s balance sheet under strain. Premier Oil (LON: PMO) could lose $1.2 million per day with oil prices below $40 per barrel, according to Bloomberg.
Oilfield service job cuts expected. Between 1,500 and 3,000 oilfield service jobscould be on the chopping block in the next two months, according to Primary Vision.
Shale drillers want 25% discounts from oilfield services. U.S. shale drillers are demanding price cuts from service companies, according to Reuters. Parsley Energy asked service providers “to reconsider your pricing,” and help them achieve an “at least 25%” reduction in costs. But oilfield servicers are arguably in a worse position. “Anyone dumb enough to ask for a discount today is a (expletive),” a drilling executive who did not want to be identified told Reuters.