40p?28 Nov 2022 22:27
The value of the rest of the portfolio, excluding LS, is probably around £5m.
The new post tax NPV is likely to be more than the $246m suggested by the 2021 PEA. But not that much more, as costs [financing and power especially] will have increased; the discounting factor is up to 10.5% and any additional expected free cash flow from the expanded resource base in the Feasibility Study will be in later years when the present value is so much lower. Together with the expected $2.5m in December, a reasonable valuation may be $15m = £12.5m.
So a NAV of £17.5m could be achieved next year - only 'could' as there are still hurdles to cross. But a potential NAV of 50p a share, on which I would expect a discount, but not as high as in the past. Result - a share price closer to 40p?
JV is not a young man; I would not be surprised if there was a return to shareholders if the 5% was sold for cash. Hopefully this will feature in any Proactive interview, which should be expected in the near future, as the expectation of a cash dividend would reduce the NAV discount.
But people will be bored unless this share attracts some quality rampers; which would be fine by me as I am happy for the share price to increase or fall and give me another decent trading opportunity at around 12p.
Time will tell, and good fortune to those involved...