Keeping your head whilst all around you are losing theirs...22 Dec 2025 10:05
Right I am going to be pretty blunt so no offence intended but people need to take a step back here and look at what is at stake.
I have warned previously that there are going to be all sorts of shananigans, going on with the massive share price rise this year FID, fund raisings, placements, constant news flow etc and that whilst this is going on the share price is going to react irrationally and be open to significant manipulation. I for one never saw the FID price reaction coming (credit to Happy for getting something right for once), but having played the markets for almost 40 years I have seen this kind of thing many times, and the idiots that lose sight of the bigger picture by becoming fixated on daily and hourly price movements who end up crying into their cornflakes months and years down the line when they see what they missed.
Sealion is profitable at $20 + so if oil averages $70 for the time its in production, Rockhopper and its shareholder ie YOU! are going to see $15 bn of economic profit or £15 of earnings for every share you own! Yes folks, $15bn of profit shared between 800m shares. Do the maths!
Add on Isobel which is likely to be as big if not larger than Sealion and can be funded from cashflow and brorrowing you are looking at many, many multiples of the current share price.
Suggest people go and focus on Christmas and their loved ones and enjoy themselves having made small fortunes this year with the share price likely to rise strongly from here as the market and institutions start to price Rockhopper accordingly. For goodness sake the market cap on this is just £560m of which £200m is cash on the books to make a huge oilfield development happen!
The fact that a takeover could happen in a couple of years or a large partner could come in just adds some extra spice.
The potential value here is extraordinary. By all means trade or sell your shares if that is what you want to do but trust me, cashing out now is likely to be
one the most regrettable decisions you are going to make.
You are looking at the opening up of a new oil province and you are all invested right at the bottom. Billions of pounds are going to be made but also lost if you are stupid enough to cash out now.
Rant over, you have been warned.....