My take on PMO23 Apr 2019 20:04
Before I start, I am well invested in PMO.
This company reminds me of a little rich spoilt kid.
They have production of circa 80k barrels of oil per day, they have sanctioned Tolmount, they have Zama plus they bought more acreage in Mexico, they have Sea Lion, they have new exciting acreage in Indonesia and Brazil. To top it all off they were recently linked to buying the Chevron assets in the North Sea.
There biggest problem is they have no money and a large ( falling ) level of debt. Given TIME (and the right Brent oil price) they will be fine.
Management have a duty to their employees and shareholders to provide continuity of the business and a return on investment. At the moment the PMO management cannot juggle all the eggs in the basket. The two biggest upcoming projects are Zama and Sea Lion, they (IMO) need to decide which one they should sell.
1) to bring debt down more quickly and
2) to concentrate their efforts on the remaining huge protest.
TD has talked in the past of reducing debt and bringing investable status back to PMO. This is not currently the position, witnessed by the poor SP performance and the debacle ongoing with almost daily GS rsn’s.
The time to take action is when the oil price is over 70 dollars and rising TD is paid a lot of money and imo he is not acting in shareholders best interests, there is no significant capital growth (historically) and no dividend.
Over and out.