Platcro9 Aug 2018 10:26
Finally have been able to watch the webcast. All very good, and LC is coming across as very enthusiastic about the direction the company started to take a few years ago and where we're heading.
Something I picked up was the transport costs for platcro tailings, about $3 per tonne. With that we can start to estimate potential earnings from platcro, using the assumption that costs per oz will similar as Hernic.
To briefly summarise, I reckon total revenue in the region of £19m per year, and likely total profits in the region of £8m per year. We're on a profit share arrangement, which we don't know the % other than we get the majority. So assuming we get 60%, that's just under £5m profit per year for the next 3 years, and then a slowdown after that. A £15m+ return for an outlay of £3m with very little risk looks to be a pretty good deal to me and demonstrates positive action taken by LC.
To estimate it, I used the profit margins per oz from Hernic's Q2 figures, mulitpled by the target of 2,800oz, and subtract the extra transport costs of $180,000 per month for 60,000 tonnes. Will of course vary according to PGM prices and exchange rates etc.
Incidentally, if platcro tailings are processed at 60,000 tonnes and achieved the same recovery rates at Hernic, it'd be roughly 2,900oz per month.
So all in all, Platcro looks like it'll be a good earner for the next few years. And by the time the main platcro tailings are exhausted, Kabwe should be in full swing with zinc, lead and vanadium.
Now if £15m return for £3m cost is a good deal, consider that we've paid nothing for Kabwe, and potential returns could run into the 100's millions.