Thanks1 Nov 2013 05:30
A bit more sleeptyping lol.Some great contributions from both itsaduster and langyy there.Analysts- I read Market Oracle, a few rubbishy articles creep in, though overall it is worth reading.There are plenty of indicators,if you take the opposite you can't go far wrong.I read a book called All About Market Indicators in that respect.I've pointed out the COT Gold site too.Wait till this evening's report-each Friday- its been in a bind for about 2 weeks caused the recent shutdowns.Always back the professional commercials there, not the large investors.I'll hope to see that later.Our worst enemies are still those Fed people who always make speeches about tapering after any meetings.So despite their policy not changing for months it hasn't helped gold much.Tapering will in the end greatly benefit gold,as I've said it will blow the housing/mortgage/toxic subprime etc..People with too-large 25-year mortgages and poor paying jobs.As long as the US remains split in politics between opposing camps in Congress there will be re-runs of more fiscal cliffs,the next one begins in only about 10 weeks! They'll keep going back to the edge.I can't see a default,they just want to force concessions by doing that.So what will help gold ?
We have-
1. cuts in supply if gold goes too low..Say towards $1100/oz.-$1200/0z. All in costs have risen due to oil and other costs generally.
2. the fear factor every so often with huge debts www.usdebtclock.org and fiscal cliffs.
3. when tapering comes,interest rate rises then sub prime blows up as in 2008.
4. any large crisis.Could be anything.Allow your imagination free rein.Maybe best not to, lol.
5. the most likely will be when the general stock market must tip over after nearly 7 years of rising.2000>>2007>>2014 ???.I do agree long term progress goes on.Though a 12-15 year chart shows 3 big rises/falls its really been one big rise with pauses, overall.We profit from jiggling our shares between these ups/downs hopefully.All a fool needs to do is invest in a tracker just when any of the periodic 50% drops happen every 7 years or so, in the stock markets though we as maybe more experienced investors might hope for more than that.Of course we make mistakes often but the trick is surviving in this game.GL