RE: Share Consolidation9 Aug 2022 18:35
Hi Fonzius,
Re your post at 13:38 today.
I've checked your numbers, and they look correct.
The problem is that the "new" share price won't necessarily be £2-54, or the same as today's "old" share price. Some things are fixed, and some are variable. What is fixed is the current total number of shares, and the amount in pence of the dividend per share that they'll pay out - 16.8p. That then fixes the total amount of cash that will be leaving the company. More recently, as per today's RNS announcement, they've also fixed what the "consolidation ratio" will be, ie 13 "new" shares for every 14 "old" shares. To do that, they've had to assume a starting market price of the shares. As this was probably done a couple of days ago, they've used a market price which is now out of date. I think that the market price has gone up a bit in the last few days. So it might have been, say, £2-45, or something like that. If they had to do it at today's market price, they'd need to use a slightly different consolidation ratio for the theoretical price of the new shares to be the same as the current price of the old shares - it might be 27 new for 28 old, or 15 new for 16 old, or something else. It's actually a very complicated calculation, and all they can do is the best they can. They can't foresee exactly what the future share price will be, and they certainly can't control it. If you use a starting price of £2-54, as in your example, you might be "down" £188, but if you use a different starting price, you might be "up".
It's not an exact science, because no-one can predict exactly what "the market" will do in a few weeks' time.
I'm sorry I can't explain it any better. For Tesco, I put together a "spreadsheet" on the computer where I could see the effects of the market price changing, but when I look back at it now, I realise that I was over-analysing the situation for what are actually very small differences. £188 sounds a lot of money to you or me, but it's actually very small in the context of £35,000.
Regards, Mike.