RE: Help a newbie out?2 Aug 2021 19:30
Hi BrightSideWalker,
Like you, I held Morrison shares for several years as an investment, and enjoyed receiving the dividends.
All the terms of the Fortress offer are in the "Scheme Document", and are included in an "RNS" (Regulatory News Service) announcement. To see the announcement, if you press the "RNS" button at the top of this page, you'll see all the relevant announcements, and the key one is one at 07:00 on 5 July titled "Recommended Offer for Wm Morrison Supermarkets PLC". To save you scrolling through them all, this should take you directly to it:-
https://www.lse.co.uk/rns/MRW/recommended-offer-for-wm-morrison-supermarkets-plc-n8ggsf8f4z5x888.html
To put it in simple context, this is a "friendly" not a "hostile" offer, which means that the BoD (Board of Directors) of Morrison have recommended that Morrison shareholders accept it. That said, it still needs shareholders to vote on it, and pass it by a certain percentage (I believe it's 75%). There is a Court hearing and a General Meeting of Morrison, which I think are due to take place on 16 August, which is where this vote is taken.
Also, because this is a "cash" offer, if this bid goes through you *will* be liquidated whether you like it or not, and you will be left with no shares, but £2-52 cash for each share, plus 2p dividend, as cash, for each share. You shouldn't have to pay any broker/platform fee.
However, there are now so many possibilities of what could happen. I'll try to list them in a logical order:-
(i) No other bids emerge, this Fortress bid gets voted-through by shareholders, then in due course you'll get your cash.
(ii) This Fortress bid fails to get voted-through by shareholders, then:-
(iii) Fortress come back with a higher bid, which *does* get voted-through by shareholders, then in due course you'll get your higher amount of cash, or
(iv) Fortress don't come back with a higher bid (effectively they walk away), then with no other bids, the share price is likely to fall significantly, or
(v) Fortress don't come back with a higher bid, and another bid from someone else comes along. This new bid would likely have to be significantly higher than the current "£2-54" bid or else shareholders wouldn't vote for it.
There are other combinations as well, that could happen, such as a higher bid from someone else comes *before* the present Fortress bid has to be voted on.
Whatever you do, I'm afraid it's a bit of a gamble.
There will be those that say that the present share price, above £2-70, is because there are those in the market that *know* that a higher bid is going to come along. There will also be those that opt for the certainty of selling now and getting a price considerably above the present "recommended" offer of £2-54.
Good luck with whatever you decide.
Mike.