RE: Why no bids yet...?11 Dec 2023 14:35
When you look at the quality of the asset, Italian...
Then you look at BHP's experience at Noront, I'm quite sure nobody will want to start at a low bid which would inevitably attract several bidders.
So if you're a major I believe you have to start with a credible bid, which I suggest would be no less than 50p.
It has to be a bid that will limit the number of counterbids.
Wyloo thought they had done that by starting at 55c when the SP had been only 12c months earlier. In that case, the Board agreed, probably mainly because Wyloo had over 40% of the shares.
But BHP came in at 75c without any previous bids or apparent share stake at all...and they still didn't get it, because Sangha clearly told Wyloo a bid at 110c would knock BHP out.
I think the people on here who think that SOLG could go for 20 or 30p are airing their worst fears. I suspect the Board will already have knocked back at least one attempt to buy the ex CGP stake because the price was too low.
On Monday 10 October 2016, Solgold announced they had turned down an offer from BHP that would ultimately have led to BHP controlling 70% of Cascabel. The following week they sold 10% of the company to Newcrest.
The shares rose to 18p having been only 3p 4 months previously.
Bob Sangha negoptiated that deal....
In June 2017, NCM paid 40p
In September 2018 BHP paid Guyana Goldfields (Scott...) 27p for a 6% stake and NCM came back 3 months later at 40p for only 1.5% of the shares.
Which shows what can happen when you get two majors seriously interested in Solgold...
Remember that Newcrest in July 2020, when the SP was 23p decided to "exsplore options" for their stake, deciding to hold on, even though the SP had almost doublerd to 42p only three months later.
And they held on as it fell back to 20p...when it bounced to 36p in June 2021... and yoyoed around to hit 40p again in April 2022...
By the time Newmont bid for them in February 2023 the SP had fallen back to 13p...
And neither BHP nor NCM have ever sold any shares, so Solgold must at least still be in BHP's strategic plans.
Of course the Board of Solgold could have no influence on the price either of them accepted now to sell any or all of their shares, but the price paid by the buyer would signal an undoubted statement of intent.
Of course the SOLG Board is concerned at the current SP...they are tajking steps to try and support it, starting with the Directors' Buys.
And I believe we will see more RNSs before the AGM. We haven't seen anything about gold prospects Rio Amarillo, nor Helipuerto or the former CGP JV in Bramaderos with Sunstone Metals.
I believe it is imperative that they complete the "turnkey" PFS3 early in 2024.
That alone will push up the SP and may be the final piece of information for prospective bidders.
And if gold and copper prices resume their march North in the meantime, that cannot harm.
But I don't rule out an anticipatory bid before then...