RE: This war is far from over!11 Mar 2026 15:45
Yes, the Straits of Hormuz is Iran’s big weapon and it will be very difficult to counter. Trump miscalculate, he thought the Iranian leadership would be rational deal makers and accept they were completely outgunned and capitulate, but when you have a rigid religious regime they may be happy too fight into martyrdom. By the way I recommend Jeff Currie’s piece on Blooomberg. He notes that the IEA may release 400 million barrels of stored oil, sounds good, but he says it can only flow out into the market at 2million barrels a day whilst the loss from the gulf is 18 million barrels a day.