Fair value £2.6017 Feb 2021 20:27
There was no RNS showing any selling of any M&G shares.
The RNS shows M&G holdings in the shares of another company. This is just a standard change of holdings that asset managers such as M&G do every day.
M&G has an annual dividend of about 18p, made up of a 12p final and a 6p interim, and so at present M&G shares have a far higher yield and are much better value than similar shares such as Standard Life or Phoenix which have a yield of about 7%.
If M&G shares were to yield a similar 7%, M&G shares would be about £2.60.
M&G also benefits from a very resilient cash flow that other similar companies such as Standard Life and Schroders do not have. About 90% of the M&G dividend is already covered for the next three years by the with-profits book, and annuities, which total about £130 billion of heritage money.
M&G also plans to generate £2.2 billion of capital over the next 3 years which is equivalent to about 80p per share over the next 3 years, so it is quite possible that will also be some special dividends in the next few years in addition to the 18p annual dividend.
I actually think even £2.60 would quite undervalue M&G shares. A dividend of 18p and a yield of about 6% would suggest that a fair value for M&G shares is about £3.