The latest Investing Matters Podcast episode featuring Jeremy Skillington, CEO of Poolbeg Pharma has just been released. Listen here.
As my computer is out of action, I'm having to use my phone. Therefore, it's not possible to scroll back to recent posts, one of which stated the total lobbying fees. I thought it was posted in one of your translations, but I could be wrong.
Looef - I'm not suggesting SH/O delayed the Discovery. What I stated was that once it's completed the 'cat is out of the bag' and it's too late too change the situation. If Discovery shows that there's a 'smoking gun', then even if a settlement is reached, a criminal case could follow against SH. Therefore, as Discovery hasn't been completed it suggests that it contains a 'smoking gun' and that the settlement will be in FRR's favour.
tsbs1 - Do you understand the significance of the Discovery not being completed?
How do you explain the facts that YJ has now decided to go to court for payment due, and the GG have hinted at a return of FRR to Block 12? The timing is significant IMHO.
This might also explain why the GG think that FRR could return to Block 12, as maybe they know the figure is high enough to cover the $6m owed from the arbitration.
IMHO FRR will receive a sum of money as settlement of the Californian case. If Discovery contains a smoking gun, then SH was looking at a probable gaol sentence after a Criminal Case. As Discovery wasn't completed, it allows a CRS to take place and for SH/O to settle the Californian case. The damages sought by FRR were almost double the amount FRR owed SH/I. Hence, even after writing off the debt owed to SH/O, there would be a payment to FRR IMHO. Therefore, YJ either is thinking along these lines, or knows the actual outcome of the case.
SN would be a laughing stock in Houston if FRR sold for 5p/share IMHO.
There's $560m recoverable spending on exploration and $380mm in lobbying.
5p per share equates to just $9m more than just the recoverable exploration costs and the lobbying fees. Never mind all the court costs and other expenses.
It would be better to borrow $100m and drill a few holes into the Eldari B.
T39 flowed at 250bopd through a 3mm hole, which equates to over 4000bopd at full bore. This was unaided, therefore, if a pump was added over 6000bopd is possible.
At the current price of oil (Block 12 sells at around $5 premium to Brent), that equates to over $500k/d.
I'm not suggesting that the oil would be allowed to flow at full bore, as it would rely on the data etc, but it highlights the potential and the value.
The costs of drilling etc are some of the lowest in the industry and there's already four pipelines in place running through or near.
There's also the vast amount of gas, 202TCF. If figures released during the Ukraine court case period are correct, then Block 12 sits just behind China and Qatar in the World league tables. This is not an empty box that's been fought over for so long.
SH/O tried a hostile takeover FRR.
SH/O vetoed loans that would have helped FRR
SH/O stranglehold resulted in death spiral finance from YA as the only option.
SH/O tried to liquidate FRC, where the only real value was held.
Zaza tried to steal Block 12, which resulted in FTI not being able to liquidate.
Zaza stopped the GG taking back the licence for Block 12.
Did Zaza blatantly try to steal Block 12 or was it a sacrifice knowing he'd be caught, but preventing the loss of Block 12? We'll probably never know.
SH/O has never done anything for FRR share holder's, so why trust him now? Plus as the Discovery was never completed, it suggests the possibility of a smoking gun, otherwise why wasn't it completed? A CRS under Californian Law doesn't rule out a Criminal Case, whereas in other jurisdictions it's like a get out of gaol free card.
Furthermore, the fact that the case is settled 'in principle' could mean that the cases in the Cayman's, New York and Texas, need to be dropped by SH/O before finally being signed off.
Furthermore, the fact that the case is settled 'in principle' could mean that the cases in the Cayman's, New York and Texas, need to be dropped by SH/O before finally being signed off.
Jonathansxx - IMHO it's in FRR's favour, as the discovery wasn't completed, and the date for completion of discovery went past the date for completion of a settlement. If the discovery was completed and there was a smoking gun, then a CRS could still have resulted in a criminal case against SH/O under Californian Law. Under other jurisdictions the CRS negates the need for a criminal case, as a wrong has been righted with the Civil Regulatory Settlement.
'"Frontera" may return to the oil sector of Georgia' and 'The Oil and Gas Agency may announce an updated tender for the "Frontera" block.' This could also be that the tender for the 99% that's already been returned could go to Frontera. Frontera hasn't left the 1%, they have just not carried out any further work over the last few years. If a possible deal would greatly advance the production of hydrocarbons and it required Frontera to hold land adjacent to the 1%, it would make sense for the GG to allocate the tender of the 99% to Frontera.
The big difference in this case is that a CRS doesn't rule out a criminal case under Californian Law. IMHO this is why the expert discovery date exceeds the negotiation date and could be FRR's trump card in obtaining a favourable result. This would also explain why discovery still hasn't been completed.
Why did the IPCC hide the email about having to discredit the Mediaeval Warm Period? Why did Dr David Bellamy lose his TV contract after calling MMGW bunkum? Why are prominent scientists sacked and cancelled? Surely, if they're wrong, just prove it with debate.
The IPCC even stopped adjusting for the heat island effect, when it didn't give the required results.
When prominent scientists get cancelled and sacked and debate is stifled, it rings alarm bells in true scientists, who question everything to get to the truth. The Liberal Left think that's a place in Cornwall.
The sea ice in Antarctica has reached record levels for the last few years. The IPCC tried to explain that this is because glacial meltwater is freshwater and freezes easier than sea water, which is true. However, it's the whole coastline and not just where the rivers flow into the oceans. This also explains why the oceans are getting more acidic, as cooling causes more Carbon Dioxide to dissolve, not a few more parts per million in the atmosphere.
When the temperature was rising on the Earth, it was also rising on other planets in our solar system. Milankovich Cycles are what causes climate change and the burning of fossil fuels has a negligible effect.
5 million people die each year from the effects of temperature, 500k through heat and 4.5m through cold. We focusing on the wrong science, but that's nothing new. When glaciation was first mooted, it was ridiculed. The same happened with plate tectonics. How do you explain the last ice ages having 8 X and 11 X as much Carbon Dioxide as today?
I suggest that you read Dark Winter by the NASA scientist Casey, which explains why we're heading into a Grand Solar Minimum and thirty years of Global Cooling. This will result in lower crop yields, whereas Global Warming would have given a second crop in some parts and even a third crop in other's. As the Wikileaks exposed, it's all about the money. $100bn fund to pay for influencers to promote the MMGW scam and a return of $125tn from Carbon Trading. Even the co-founder of Greenpeace, Dr Patrick Moore, left because he doesn't believe in MMGW. Dr Moore is a true environmentalist who put his life on the line for the environment. He drove a RIB in the path of the French Navy's guns, when they were firing at the Rainbow Warrior in New Zealand.