I could have guaranteed some person on twitter nobody has ever heard of before comes up with some magical number.
Price has barely moved since then. Says it all.
With the (less than) 7 trading days, can I check something. I've read people saying these wirelog days actually include the setting of casing?
In which case the actual test would be done ready for Monday right?
A big problem ukog has had and will have is local opposition.
But the rmp place is surrounded by massive oil finds, and an extremely good hit rate in the region.
I could easily see this drifting up between 25-50% per day until we get the results in.
As others have noted, the risk model must surely have shifted over 50% now of hitting a shedload of oil. This being one of the oiliest places on earth.
How long is a piece of string. I'd say if you are looking to de risk you have 2 stages; before any wirelog results, after wirelog results but before flow test results.
If the wirelog comes in decent then I'd say 20p is nailed on. If not then probably back nearer 3p etc.
Basically if you want "potential" you are going to pay 6-say 15p. If you want confirmed I'd say 20p-35p (allowing for gap up), and if you want production its going to be 50p+
Like everyone else I see nothing at all to connect the news definitively with WDC. Except it being stem cells.
IF there is any connection then yes this will be a few pence before end of the week. I remember well SAR doing something like a 20 bag when people thought they had cured cancer lol.