RE: Back in14 Apr 2021 14:04
..Is definitely anyone guess but my gut feeling tells me that is unlikely a Russian attack will take place, it would be too dangerous and not worthwhile. Possibly as long as Putin can keep Crimea with its Russian navy base, will do. Even more now that US with Biden are officially involved. The best way out for Putin will be some negotiation trying to get some more concession out of Ukraine. Even if that doesn't work out, Putin has had his show of strength and that will please his hard line at home, then the Russian separatist rebel can keep fighting as it has been for years since 2014. As I posted much earlier it would be really fundamental to understand the reason why all this has started (Russian troops at the border). I am willing to think that the Russian have been somehow provoked by the Ukraine presidency, either to move forward Ukraine Nato membership or some other political home gains. Don't get me wrong I am aware that there are real and dangerous problems in the disputed regions of Ukraine but it has gone on for years, why now this escalation?============================
This is what the Russian claim is the reason for troops at the borders:
Moscow said the deployments were a reaction to what it claimed were Nato plans to move troops closer to Russia’s borders in the Baltic and Black Sea regions.
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It means that if NATO doesn't start Russia won't either. Anyhow back on Fxpo sp I was expecting a much bigger retracement but on the technical it looks that 355 was the bottom and is now making higher lows, add to that Biden involvement hence a small buy from me.