EMH Fair Value Check: 50pā70p Fair Value From Here2 Feb 2026 17:59
Cinovec is no longer āconceptā. The ÄEZ/Geomet DFS management summary sets out a 27 year project targeting ~37.5ktpa battery grade LCE (99.5% purity) and quoted AISC around US$13.6k/t LCE. Capex is framed at >US$2bn (~CZK42bn) with support lines explicitly referenced already: CZK800m Just Transition Fund infrastructure and up to ā¬350m (~CZK8.8bn) for the processing plant. Add the EU CRMA āstrategicā status and you can see why this is being pushed as a national/EU supply chain asset.
Market cap is still tiny vs the strategic value here, because the market is waiting for the two big gating items: offtake and a clear financing framework. Thatās fair, but it also means the discount is still huge.
Fair value SP today, based on where we are now:
If you price this as DFS plus permits pathway, with grants helpful but financing not yet locked, a fair zone is 50p to 70p.
If offtake plus funding visibility is confirmed (not even FID, just bankability), the fair zone becomes 70p to 100p quickly.
Zeus at ~88p sits bang in the middle of that ābankability visibleā range, not some fantasy number. Thatās exactly why offtake is the next major catalyst. You wonāt be buying this in the 20s if the market gets comfort on offtake and financing, especially with further grants and strategic support in play.
DYOR etc.