PAUSE FOR THOUGHT16 Jul 2019 21:41
So, after today's share price gyrations, time to pause and try and rationally assess the situation. In the announcement Lisa Gordon states that one of the reasons for going private is that the market cap didn't properly reflect the value of the company. Well, it is now two-thirds less than it closed yesterday. So let's turn this story on its head - what if this company was coming to the AIM market and not leaving. It would be asking the market for funding via a placing valuing the pre money company at what? I would suggest that it would probably be raising £10+m with a total post issue value of £20+m & it would probably go toa premium. It is all about perception. So, i think the true value of the company now, stripping out all emotion, should be £6-£8m, ie 6p to 8p per share. Of course it won't achieve that given the negative emotions but it would mean that anybody buying and holding at these levels is getting into an exciting technology company for peanuts. Takes guts of course but the potential rewards are very high.