Dannatts View5 May 2022 10:21
Seems to think the entry to Avozstol signifies an attempt at achieving the land corridor, 10% to 15% of Russia occupied and ceasefire. Have to admit to concurring.
"Gen Richard Dannatt, the former Chief of the General Staff of the British army in the early 2000s has been interviewed about Ukraine on Sky News in the UK this morning. He told viewers that he thought the renewed reports of fighting at the Azovstal plant in Mariupol represented Russia attempting to secure some sort of victory announcement for the 9 May commemoration of the end of the second world war. He said:
It would appear they’ve now resumed the direct attack in order to try and snuff out the remaining parts of the resistance, so that they can claim on Monday that they have captured Mariupol, and therefore they have completed their land corridor from Crimea through the Donbas into Russia proper.
This is a tragedy that’s unfolding in front of our eyes. Some of the civilians may get out over a two or three day ceasefire, which is being talked about, but for the soldiers in there, I’m afraid the prospect is very grim.
He suggested Russian President Vladimir Putin was in a position to declare a victory because “he has control over the state media. He can say what he likes. And tragically a large proportion of the Russian people will believe what he says.”
Dannatt said that “the evidence is mounting” that Russia’s campaign amounts to an attempt at genocide, describing the attack on the theatre in Mariupol as “really quite despicable.”
He felt that the prospects for the endgame in Ukraine were quite bleak for the Ukrainians, saying:
The sad reality is that at some point, hopefully in the not too distant future, there will be some form of general ceasefire and the war will stop where it is.
[The Russians] won’t leave of their own free accord. And no one is going to throw them out. Nato and the west is not going to mount an Iraq-style operation to throw out the Russians from Ukraine in the same way that Saddam Hussein was thrown out of Kuwait. That just isn’t going to happen.
So there may have to be the realisation of an awful new status quo, where 10-to-15% of Ukraine is occupied by Russians, and there’s nothing that can be done about it."