RE: ASX100 and GDX Inclusion13 Mar 2026 22:51
@96dc2 - short answer is no, explain below
The ~60–65M shares estimate is really just the mechanical buying from passive ETFs.
That comes from:
- GDX: ~11–12M shares
- ASX100: 48–52M shares
Those funds must buy to match the index weight.
Then you have benchmark / tracker funds (super funds, institutions, gold funds etc). They don’t have to buy immediately, but many increase exposure once a company enters a major index to reduce tracking error. So the 60–65M shares is really the floor.
Over time the total demand could end up closer to ~80–100M shares once those benchmark funds adjust.