Iceberg Off the Port Bow11 Oct 2025 10:43
If they don't get a move on then there will be no drilling / Spud in Q4 2025 / Q1 2026... not because there’s no intent, but because of simple Arctic logistics.
The Jameson Land concession sits in East Greenland, and the sea-ice window there is incredibly narrow - roughly June to late September. Once November hits, fjords around Ittoqqortoormiit and Scoresby Sund start freezing over fast, meaning no shipping access until spring unless you have an expensive ice-class vessel.
That means if heavy kit (rigs, fuel, bulk supplies) isn’t shipped by mid-autumn, mobilisation has to wait until the next open-water season - realistically Q2 2026.
Now, layer in the Pelican / March GL / Greenland merger that’s due to close in Q4 2025. That’s the key funding event - it converts March GL into Greenland Energy (Nasdaq: GLND) and releases the capital needed for the drill programme. But even if the merger completes in December, it’s too late to sail.
So the likely sequence looks like this:
Q4 2025 → Merger closes, capital released.
Q1–2026 → Equipment procurement and shipping prep
Q2–2026 → Mobilisation window (vessel from Canada or Iceland to Greenland)
Q3–2026 → Drilling and fieldwork during the summer season
Could tie in nicely with a JV and announced drilling campaign timing for Disko (which would also be around Q3 2026 if they get the right partner) - now that would blow the doors off the SP.