RE: Punk28 Jan 2014 08:27
Hi,
I read through your write up and a very good summary. one thing to be careful of is the below comment:
1)Outsourcery (OUT) ………. Outsourcery was admitted to London's Alternative Investment Market (AIM) on 24th May 2013. It has a Market Cap of £40m with what the City likes to call “High Operational Gearing”, which basically means they have high fixed costs which is a killer if they aren’t growing revenue quick enough to breakeven, but it also means that once breakeven is achieved then profit and free cash flow should leap exponentially as the revenue keeps growing and costs don’t (which explains what looks like a high Market Cap at the moment)
You have to remember that most of the investment is in hardware which will need to be continually expanded in line with any growth and you need huge volumes to make this economically viable.
You also have to bear in mind that hardware gets outdated very quickly and constant 3 to 4 year refresh cycles suck up a lot of cash.
I have to wonder if OUT spent all that money building the platform 3 to 4 years ago is the money they are raising now to refresh that? I know they say to build a new cloud based on government standards but when and how will they refresh the hardware on the old platform? Based on numbers it looks like they have hardly any volume for the investment made.