Tavsan and some numbers26 Jul 2017 16:47
Northy - thanks for your post of 12:39.
Like you I believe the Tavsan development should be done as fast as is practicable - ideally with bank borrowing but AAU need to show they have the cash flow to repay debt and that depends on ' surplus ' over the total repayments on the JV debt, which is scheduled to be repaid completely over a relatively short period compared to the, very much longer, envisaged mine life.
If they can't borrow on reasonable terms ( involving Proccea previously was a huge benefit in borrowing ) they probably will need to fund raise for this expenditure, which is not what investors want to hear and it may be the SP reflects this uncertainty. Incidentally I understand Tavsan needs usual paperwork/ permits including Forestry so there are limits on how fast it can go, even if financing is no issue.
Good production figures to be announced soon are key to availability of options.