RE: Helpful5 Feb 2018 12:45
Not me. That is not the type of language that I use.
It is not an opportunity really. The facts are out there. They are as follows:
1. JMS have said that they are going to IPO by end of Q1 18 (my view pretty nailed on)
2. JMS have said that in that Australian Financial Review from the other week that they were going to raise funds an concentrate on Iron feedstocks
3. RRR has a 0.75% royalty on a JORC of 1.85 bn tonnes (see the last AR)
4. Cliff is pulling out of the port and cancellation costs are quoted at A$60mil
5. The 2012 JMS presentation on their website stated that it needed $300mil investing in the port to handle the volume.
Issues and views
There is a conversation to be had between JMS, the port, Cliff and the local authorities. The 2012 report said it would cost over $1bn to exploit Mt Ida.
If it can brought on (notice the if) then there is a lot of money in that royalty.
My view is that it is good news for RRR and means that the JMS royalty is worth more than zero: how much more, I have no idea because it is down to the discussion above.
I don't think it is likely that JMS will want to progess anything prior to the IPO because it would slow everything down and mean the IM has to be rewritten but it will be top of the agenda after the IPO. So things there is no point in asking me:
Will JMS proceed with Mt Ida, I don't know but it is likely.
Over what period of time, no idea but discussions with Cliff and the port are likely to be a 3/6 month job.
When would they bring Mt Ida into production, no idea but maybe a 2/5 year time frame. They need to put a rail spur in to transport the ore. Nonethess if they decide they are proceeding that royalty will be worth something.
Regardless of time frames it is good news for RRR.
DYOR