RE: Steelmin11 Jan 2018 13:14
You may not have noticed but this is the RRR BB not the RGM BB. Regardless Steelmin should be close to finishing the reassembly of the plant. The cooling system was one of the long lead items that they needed and they were on with that last week. So the completion of the reassembly will be in sight. After that is done, they will need to test each of the subsystems and have them signed off as safe. The operational team will need to get their training double checked and go through the various Standard Operation Procedures so that they can get signed off as competent. Once they have the systems and staff signed off from H&S then they can start running their start up routines etc. They should be ready to try a proper start up sometime in early February (IMHO).
I used to be a Chemical Plant Process Operator a long time ago and have taken part in the safe start ups and shut downs of large plant systems; you don't just press a start button and hope it works out. A start up might take a few days depending on the systems involved. One plant used to use Kerosene as the coolant under pressure at a couple of hundred degrees Centigrade.
Anyway, bottom line is, they are close but not quite there yet. The finance from RRR/YHA is costing them an arm and a leg at 13% pa plus 1% of the equity per month. Steelmin will want to pay that loan or part of the loan back asap. I expect that they would sort out a facility with conditions precedent so that it is lined up to draw down as and when the conditions are met. Once that facility is in place, it becomes a box ticking exercise.
RRR should net back around �2mil ish from repaying the loan to YHA and end up with 20% of Steelmin.
The Steelmin Business Plan from January 2017 was talking about an EBITDA of Euro 7.5mil. With current prices, I would expect that to be closer to 10mil. The key will be an offtake contract; if Steelmin have lined up a 100% offtake contract on pre-agree prices then the plant becomes a license to print money.
You try working out what 20% of Steelmin is worth on EBITDA of Euro 10mil and a multiple of 13: it is not zero.
IMHO DYOR
PS Speak back end of next week re this subject matter.